When we win tonight 😊, a draw for Derby on Saturday put's auto. promotion back into our hands - assuming we also win on Saturday...... and I'm sure we would all gladly take that.
However, if Derby were to lose on Saturday, it would offer us the opportunity to go up automatically with just a draw in our final game at Peterborough..... if we have scored enough goals against Shrewsbury and Port Vale to overall Derby's 5 goal advantage (which would reduce to a maximum 4 goal advantage in the above scenario as Derby would have lost by at least one goal).
2nd however; whilst it would be great to have the comfort that a draw in our final game might be sufficient to get us automatically promoted, it would be a VERY risky strategy to adopt - Let's assume Derby lose on Saturday (by the odd goal) and we win both home games 4-0, we would then be 4 goals ahead. But with us only drawing the last game at Peterborough (to fulfill the scenario), Derby would overall us if they were to beat bottom of the league Carlisle by 5 goals!
So, a Derby draw on Saturday, or (albeit highly unlikely) against Carlisle, would be fantastic and ensure 3 wins for us gets us promoted. A Derby loss in either game means we have have the chance of going up with 2 wins and a draw.
2 Derby losses anyone? 🙏🙏🙏
