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peelyfeet

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peelyfeet last won the day on October 27 2020

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About peelyfeet

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  1. I don't think your defiantely wrong - the conclusion I'm drawing is - they don't know whats going to happen because the succes is based on how many vaccines they can get in us, the take up of the vaccines in younger age groups, and exactly how well they work in middle aged, which I think is why they've given themselves 5 weeks - they're claiming that it takes that long to see a difference, which is bollocks, it takes that long to see the deaths, but they'll get the gist of whats happening after 2-3 weeks. If they can get the vaccine numbers up by an extra million a week, it will m
  2. have a read of what sage think, if you can be arsed, its not a light read! https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/963381/S1102_Children_s_Task_and_Finish_Group_update_to_17th_December_2020_paper_on_children__schools_and_transmission.pdf
  3. The hospitalisations in under 50s isn't much different than 50-69 - (it's a lot lower than the over 70s,) but the deaths are much lower - the hsopitals will be busy but much less deaths.
  4. It's not happening - they know loads more people may die because they haven't been vaccinated in time, but it seems they would rather chance that than delay opening up a bit. The modelling reports I'm looking at do not look good at all - which is probably why they're doing the 5 week review between each unlocking. I just don't unerstand the strategy, schools are a high risk, Sage say it going to increase the R rate by bettwen 10% and 50% - so why not vaccinate the teachers and parents if you wan them open early? I don't get it - they could do the teachers in a weekend.
  5. Sage have just said that with starting to open up in 2 weeks, they think there's going to be another 30k covid deaths between now and June and, if they get the timings wrong another 120k on top after that. I've read some of the modelling, it's all over the place - they haven't got a scooby, mainly because they dont know exactly how efficacious the vaccine is going to be in younger ages yet and they dont know how many vaccines they can deliver, FFS. Hopefully we'll have a hot as fuck spring and everyone gets the wndows open and spends time outdoors.
  6. Hope its some sort of phase - Bojo is on in 15 mins so I'm sure we'll find out asap
  7. haha - if you do the maths, It appears daft mate - if you want everyone back in school fair enough, it has lots of dvantages, but why not vaccinate all the teachers and parents to make it really low risk beforehand - by end of easter, which means 2 weeks more of online school for most, they could do an extra 15 million - that would be all the teachers and schol workers plus the vast majority of parents. It's taken us a year to get 14 million with antibodies from natutral infection, all the lockdowns and restrictions, all the shit - we could literally do the same by having 2 more weeks on
  8. Realistically, it's likely that about 14 million of the uk population have had it, and 17.5 million have had one shot, so back of a fag packet, probably 4 million of them have had both the virus and the vaccine, so about 27.5 million are safe for now, which leaves 40 mill who aren't, we could get that down to 30 mill immedialtley safe if we waited until after Easter, with another 5 mill who will have been vaccinated and would be safe a few weeks later, when the antibodies kick in - seems like a no brainer to me, I dont understand why you'd risk the health of 10 million people, many who are goi
  9. Hospitalisation rate is still high in under 60s though, they just don't die anywhere near as much as the oldies when they get in there - in Israel they've got more under 60s in hospital with covid than over 60s for the first time in a year. using 5-17 year olds as the base group - increased chance of hospitalisation, according to CDC, in the non vaccinated are; 30 - 39yr old X10 40 - 49 yr old X15 50 - 64 yr old X25 65 - 74 yr old X35 75 - 84 yr old X55 I just think it's an illogical risk - we are vaccinating at a massivley higher number than the dail
  10. It's just a risk I don't think they should be taking for the sake of 2 weeks more online schooling - I don't think the benefit out weighs the risk - 10 million more people safe for the sake of 2 weeks of online school. Start to open up - yes by all means, but open up the activities least likely to have large scale infection first and go from there - doing stuff outside is multiple times safer than indoors - let us go to the pub outside, let the kids play with their mates outside before you put 9 million kids indoors for 5 hours a day 7 days a week, then send them home to mainly unvaccinat
  11. It should be phased in, the youngest first in areas of low infection, for a few days at a time - they are least likely to become ill, and their parents are on average younger too - see how the infection rates go, then take it from there. Imagine if you're an old parent, without a vaccine in a poor area, with high infection, like Middlesbrough - 250 per 100k versus a young parent in a well off area with a low infection rate, like cheltenham - 28 per 100k.
  12. If they don't do a phased return, I think it's fucking stupid. Israel have a phased return - infants and last 2 years of secondary in for 1 day so far, only in areas with low cases - all the rest not back in for another month - they have vaccinated 50% of the population with at least one shot, nearly all eligable adults over 30yrs old - 30% have had 2 shots - on 8th March we will have done 25% with about 2% having 2 shots. An extra 4 weeks of closed schools, is an extra 10 million vaccinated, many in the age group that are parents of secondary and college kids. Almost all o
  13. We've got to admit, it's been shite and needs improvement. Even when my lad signed, it was a let down, there was no photo op, no player or manager or ex player, just a load of parents in a room filling in forms. Nothing special, no celebration. Of the lads who currently play in my lads year, 1 supports bwfc, most of them have been there since 6yrs old. They get free tickets to every home match. Theres 1 or 2 who go regularly, some never go, others maybe 3 or 4 times a season. The kids don't know who the players or the manager are, or anything of the history. I'm talking 13 and 14 year olds who
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