Traf's Horses To Follow

[Traf]

No joy yesterday.

 

2 today:

Aperitif: 4.00 Sedgefield: win and place

Lake Chini 7.05 Haydock: place only.

[Traf]

No joy yesterday.

 

2 today:

Aperitif: 4.00 Sedgefield: win and place

Lake Chini 7.05 Haydock: place only.

 

Neither ran.

 

I've been unable to keep this updated for the past fortnight sorry, but I'll bring it all up to date today.

I've not had the time to study the horses so I backed everything that ran from the list below 20/1 for a place. I also backed some of them to win if I fancied them. I'm not after-timing, though.

Edited August 23, 2007 by Traf

[Traf]

Out for a Stroll: 4.30 Brighton

Spirit Rising: 5.30 Brighton

Motaraqeb: 7.15 Sligo

Alfresco: 8.00 Bath

 

I don't expect any of these to actually win today, but I suggest backing all to place except Spirit Rising

 

All were unplaced.

 

3 losing bets: ?11.96 @ 3.2, ?7.97 @ 4.3 and ?11.96 @ 3.2

A loss of ?31.89 on the day.

 

Week 3 so far: 4 losing bets at a cost of ?38.16!

[Traf]

Friday 10th August

 

No runners

[Traf]

Saturday 11th August

 

Lake Chini: win and place: 4/1 winner: ?6.25 @ 4/1 returned ?31.25, ?23.93 @ 2.1 returned ?48.94

Dorn Dancer: place: 5th at 10/1: loss of ?9.57

Merlin's Dancer: NO BET 6th at 22/1: NO BET

Tears of a Clown: place: 7th at 9/2: loss of ?21.27

Collateral Damage: place: 6th at 14/1: loss of ?6.83

Geojimali: place: 6th at 10/1: loss of ?9.57

John Keats: place: 2nd at 7/1: ?13.64 @ 2.93 returned ?38.65

Star of Light: win and place: 11/4 winner: ?8.78 @ 4.0 returned ?33.80, ?34.64 @ 1.76 returned ?59.65

 

Saturday's Results (and week 3)

 

9 bets (13)

5 winners (5)

55.6% strike rate ( 38.5%)

Stakes: ?134.48 (?172.64)

Returns: ?212.29 (?212.29)

Profit: ?77.81 = 57.86% (?39.65 = 22.97%)

Edited August 23, 2007 by Traf

[Traf]

Week 1

41 bets

11 winners

26.83% strike rate

Staked: ?314.96

Returned: ?434.82

Profit: ?119.86 = 38.06%

 

Week 2

30 bets

9 winners

Strike Rate: 30%

Stake: ?305.26

Return: ?398.78

Profit: ?93.52 = 30.64%

 

Week 3

13 bets

5 winners

Strike Rate: 38.5%

Stake: ?172.64

Returns: ?212.29

Profit: ?39.65 = 22.97%

 

Totals after 3 weeks

84 bets

25 winners

Strike rate 29.76%

Stakes: ?792.84

Return: ?1,045.89

Profit: ?253.05 = 31.92%

[Traf]

Week 4

 

Monday 13th: No runners

 

Tuesday 14th:

Out for a Stroll: win and place: 5th at 15/8: losses of ?12.76 and ?16.45

 

Wednesday 15th:

Out for a Stroll: win and place: 8/1 winner ?3.00 @ 9.8 returned ?28.08, ?11.97 @ 3.2 returned ?36.99

Mubaashir: NO BET: 7th at 25/1: NO BET

 

Thursday 16th:

Pride of Nation: win and place: 4/1 winner: ?5.73 @ 5.6 returned ?30.77 , ?21.94 @ 2.2 returned ?46.95

Lisathedaddy: place: 9th at 7/2: loss of ?27.34

 

Friday 17th:

Geojimali: place: 2nd at 13/2: ?9.40 @ 3.8 returned ?34.40

John Keats: win and place: 5/1 winner: ?4.70 @ 6.6 returned ?29.70, ?18.80 @ 2.4 returned ?43.80

King's Bastion: place: 5th at 12/1: loss of ?7.97

Lavenham: place: 9th at 10/1: loss of ?9.50

 

Saturday 18th:

Festive Chimes: place: 8th at 11/1: loss of ?8.74

Proud Killer: place: 2nd at 16/1: ?5.99 @ 5.4 returned ?31.03

Sgt Schultz: NO BET: 10th at 25/1: NO BET

Caradak: place: 8th at 10/1: loss of ? 9.60

 

Sunday 19th:

Galient: place: 4th at 10/1: loss of ?9.50

Song of Passion: place: 10th at 11/4: loss of ?26.20

 

Week 4 results

17 bets

8 wins

Strike Rate: 47.06%

Stake: ?209.59

Return: ?281.72

Profit: ?72.13 = 34.14%

[Traf]

Week 1

41 bets

11 winners

26.83% strike rate

Staked: ?314.96

Returned: ?434.82

Profit: ?119.86 = 38.06%

 

Week 2

30 bets

9 winners

Strike Rate: 30%

Stake: ?305.26

Return: ?398.78

Profit: ?93.52 = 30.64%

 

Week 3

13 bets

5 winners

Strike Rate: 38.5%

Stake: ?172.64

Returns: ?212.29

Profit: ?39.65 = 22.97%

 

Week 4

17 bets

8 wins

Strike Rate: 47.06%

Stake: ?209.59

Return: ?281.72

Profit: ?72.13 = 34.14%

 

Totals after 4 weeks

101 bets

33 winners

Strike rate 32.67%

Stakes: ?1,002.43

Return: ?1,327.61

Profit: ?325.18 = 32.44%

[Traf]

6 runners today:

Dandy Man, Reverence, Sierra Vista and Wi Dud all go in the 3.10 York.

Just back Dandy Man and Reverence (for old time's sake: the ground won't be wet enough really!) for places.

Clearly in Motion runs in the 5.25 Fontwell: back to place.

Supercast goes at 5.40 Chester: leave it alone.

[Traf]

6 runners today:

Dandy Man, Reverence, Sierra Vista and Wi Dud all go in the 3.10 York.

Just back Dandy Man and Reverence (for old time's sake: the ground won't be wet enough really!) for places.

Clearly in Motion runs in the 5.25 Fontwell: back to place.

Supercast goes at 5.40 Chester: leave it alone.

 

Dandy Man was placed.

 

2 go tomorrow:

Proud Killer : 4.00 Newbury: place bet

Lake Chini: 8.05 Newcastle: win and place.

 

Updates later.

[Traf]

Dandy Man was placed.

 

2 go tomorrow:

Proud Killer : 4.00 Newbury: place bet

Lake Chini: 8.05 Newcastle: win and place.

 

Updates later.

Proud Killer was unplaced @ 4.5 for a place.

Lake Chini was 2nd: took 5.4 to win and 2.3 for a place.

 

Small profit.

[Traf]

4 runners today:

Echelon: 3.10 Goodwood: win and place

Conquest: 3.25 Newmarket: NO BET

Geojimali: 5.05 Newmarket: place

Dorn Dancer: 8.00 Redcar: place

[Traf]

4 runners today:

Echelon: 3.10 Goodwood: win and place

Conquest: 3.25 Newmarket: NO BET

Geojimali: 5.05 Newmarket: place

Dorn Dancer: 8.00 Redcar: place

Echelon was a 7/1 winner.

Geojimali was 6th of 12.

Dorn Dancer was 6th of 15.

 

2 run today:

Angel Voices: 2.20 Yarmouth: back to place

Commando Scott: 4.30 Goodwood: NO BET.

 

Update on the week's stats later!

[Traf]

Angel Voices missed a place by a short head.

 

5 runners today: no great shakes though.

 

2.50 Kempton: Landucci

5.40 Kempton: Alfresco

 

3.55 Newcastle: Kames Park

 

5.00 Huntingdon: Capistrano

 

5.25 Chepstow: Out for a Stroll

 

All could get placed or all could fail to be honest.

Landucci is ridiculously priced at 24.0 on betfair and could actually win given a run.

 

I'll back all just to place: I only need 1 to place to show a profit on the day.

[Traf]

Landucci won at 9/1! A couple of quid at 24.0 was well worth the punt!

[Traf]

Week 5

 

Monday 20th: No runners

 

Tuesday 21st:

Merlin's Dancer: 16th of 18 at 25/1: NO BET

Hernando Royal: place: 10th at 7/1: loss of ?13.85

Sergeant Cecil: place: 5th at 6/1: loss of ?15.95

Continent: NO BET: 13th at 20/1: NO BET

 

Wednesday 22nd:

Lake Chini: win and place: 12/1 winner:?2.00 (Betfair min bet) @ 15.6 returned ?29.74 and ?7.98 @ 4.3 returned ?33.00

Collateral Damage: NO BET: 12th at 20/1: NO BET

Star of Light: place: 8th at 14/1: loss of ?6.83

Sir Nod: place: 2nd at 12/1: ?7.75 @ 4.4 returned ?32.79

Trojan Flight: place: 5th at 7/1: loss of ?13.50

Kerry's Dream: NO BET: 11th at 66/1: NO BET

Plum Pudding: NO BET: 16th at 33/1: NO BET

 

Thursday 23rd:

6 runners today:

Dandy Man: place: 3rd at 9/4:?29.25 @ 1.9 returned ?54.26

Reverence: place: 16th at 14/1 (burst blood vessel): loss of ?6.75

Sierra Vista: NO BET: 8th at 40/1: NO BET

Wi Dud: NO BET: 5th at 25/1: NO BET

Clearly in Motion: place: 11th at 16/1: loss of ?5.98

Supercast: NO BET: 6th at 33/1: NO BET

 

Friday 24th:

Proud Killer: place: 8th at 11/1: loss of ?7.53

Lake Chini: win and place: 2nd at 7/2: loss of ?5.98 and ?20.25 @ 2.3 returned ?45.26

 

Saturday 25th:

Echelon: win and place: 7/1 winner: ?3.82@ 7.9 returned ?28.86 and ?13.86 @ 2.9 returned ?38.88

Conquest: NO BET: 5th at 14/1: NO BET

Geojimali: place: 6th at 100/30: loss of ?28.60 OUCH!

Dorn Dancer: NO BET: 6th at 25/1: NO BET

 

Sunday 26th:

Angel Voices:place: 4th at 5/1: loss of ?19.07Another OUCH!

Commando Scott: NO BET: 5th at 50/1: NO BET

 

Week 5 results

 

17 bets

7 winners

Strike rate: 41.2%

Staked: ?208.95

Returned: ?262.79

Profit: ?53.84 = 25.77%

 

(the profit margin was 59% before Geojimali and Angel Voices! But that's the gamble!)

Edited August 27, 2007 by Traf

[Traf]

Week 1

41 bets

11 winners

26.83% strike rate

Staked: ?314.96

Returned: ?434.82

Profit: ?119.86 = 38.06%

 

Week 2

30 bets

9 winners

Strike Rate: 30%

Stake: ?305.26

Return: ?398.78

Profit: ?93.52 = 30.64%

 

Week 3

13 bets

5 winners

Strike Rate: 38.5%

Stake: ?172.64

Returns: ?212.29

Profit: ?39.65 = 22.97%

 

Week 4

17 bets

8 wins

Strike Rate: 47.06%

Stake: ?209.59

Return: ?281.72

Profit: ?72.13 = 34.14%

 

Week 5

17 bets

7 winners

Strike rate: 41.2%

Staked: ?208.95

Returned: ?262.79

Profit: ?53.84 = 25.77%

 

Totals after 5 weeks

118 bets

40 winners

Strike rate 33.9%

Stakes: ?1,211.38

Return: ?1,590.40

Profit: ?379.02 = 31.29%

[Traf]

Angel Voices missed a place by a short head.

 

5 runners today: no great shakes though.

 

2.50 Kempton: Landucci: 9/1 winner: ?5.07 @ 6.2 returned ?30.12

5.40 Kempton: Alfresco: unplaced: loss of ?5.37

 

3.55 Newcastle: Kames Park ended up 20/1+, so NO BET

 

5.00 Huntingdon: Capistrano: non-runner

 

5.25 Chepstow: Out for a Stroll: unplaced: loss of ?8.77

 

All could get placed or all could fail to be honest.

Landucci is ridiculously priced at 24.0 on betfair and could actually win given a run. I had a few quid there, but won't include it in the stats.

 

Week 6, Day 1:

 

3 bets

1 winner

?19.21 returned ?30.12, a 56.8% profit.

 

Tuesday has just the one runner: Captain General 3.45 Lingfield: decent chance, back to win and place.

 

 

 

Is anyone backing these, or should I save myself the time I spend posting them?

[top_boy_84]

Is anyone backing these, or should I save myself the time I spend posting them?

 

Keep 'em coming mate. I'm on them

[dickie]

Week 6, Day 1:

 

3 bets

1 winner

?19.21 returned ?30.12, a 56.8% profit.

 

Tuesday has just the one runner: Captain General 3.45 Lingfield: decent chance, back to win and place.

Is anyone backing these, or should I save myself the time I spend posting them?

 

I`m with Top Boy, keep em coming!

 

I`ve been rather busy what with hols, weddings and such over the past month but I should be back to normal now? I`ll try and assist?

[Traf]

This list doesn't rip trees up, but it has provided me with a steady income for the past few years.

The stats I quote are to return a ?25 profit per winner (after any commisssions, of course!) How you choose to use the list is up to you. My mate follows the list and stakes his bets to provide a ?100 profit per winner. Since I restarted this 5 weeks ago, he's made over ?1500 profit.

[Traf]

Tuesday has just the one runner: Captain General 3.45 Lingfield: decent chance, back to win and place.

 

Captain General just missed a place: finishing 4th.

Losses of ?5.00 and ?21.05: ouch!

 

2 runners tomorrow and both could win, but might just get edged out.

 

John Keats 4.30 Ayr

Resplendent Nova 4.40 Kempton

 

At the moment I'd just advise a place bet, I might back them to win tomorrow afternoon, once I've had a good look, but for the stats it's just place bets.

[top_boy_84]

Captain General just missed a place: finishing 4th.

Losses of ?5.00 and ?21.05: ouch!

 

2 runners tomorrow and both could win, but might just get edged out.

 

John Keats 4.30 Ayr 9/4 3rd

Resplendent Nova 4.40 Kempton 14/1 winner

At the moment I'd just advise a place bet, I might back them to win tomorrow afternoon, once I've had a good look, but for the stats it's just place bets.

 

An each-way single on Replendent Nova, together with an each-way double on the two, has shown a rather nice profit. Cheers Traf

[Traf]

Luvvley Jubbley!

[top_boy_84]

Any today Traf?