Smiley Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 ONE WOULD EXPECT/HOPE SO BASED ON THE MARKET, BUT WHY? Tip from the owner to a mate who banged a load on it. Only came 3rd! I didn't participate but my business partner did bob a few quid on it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted November 23, 2016 Share Posted November 23, 2016 (edited) old favourite of mine out tomorrow at Thurles, Champagne Fever A cracking looking race, Lord Windermere's in there, too! Edited November 23, 2016 by Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted November 24, 2016 Author Share Posted November 24, 2016 old favourite of mine out tomorrow at Thurles, Champagne FeverI'd not be queuing up for a bet in that - the one horse with a recent run has getting on for 3 stone to find on official ratings! I've had a bit on Relentless Dreamer in the 1.45 novice chase at Taunton. He's up in the weights with an absence to overcome but the opposition doesn't look up to much and he's got plenty of experience over fences for an in-form yard. Worth a couple of quid, I reckon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 It's a bit of a bugbear of mine, that. Horses up in weight despite a layoff, especially when it didn't even win LTO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted November 24, 2016 Author Share Posted November 24, 2016 Great race at Thurles. No idea what to take from it, mind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 Great race at Thurles. No idea what to take from it, mind. CF needs to drop back in trip, only just got home. Lord Windermere ran a big race and wants 3m Wounded Warrior ran well after a layoff, but a bad mistake knocked the stuffing out of him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted November 24, 2016 Author Share Posted November 24, 2016 CF needs to drop back in trip, only just got home. Lord Windermere ran a big race and wants 3m Wounded Warrior ran well after a layoff, but a bad mistake knocked the stuffing out of him. Aye, on the face of it. The third was 20lb 'wrong' at the weights, though, and it's easier to think the first two have a long way to go to be considered owt like back to their best than to think Roi des Francs has improved past them. Probable that the truth is somewhere in the middle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted November 24, 2016 Moderators Share Posted November 24, 2016 Give you that one Enzo My quid each way won't make me rich Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 I'd not be queuing up for a bet in that - the one horse with a recent run has getting on for 3 stone to find on official ratings! I've had a bit on Relentless Dreamer in the 1.45 novice chase at Taunton. He's up in the weights with an absence to overcome but the opposition doesn't look up to much and he's got plenty of experience over fences for an in-form yard. Worth a couple of quid, I reckon. Didn't want to lead people to it or away from it, but it was a good call. I backed it last night at what I thought was a good price (11/2). The drift out to 8/1 was both surprising and very welcome, especially as bet365 will now pay out at 17/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famouswanderer Posted November 24, 2016 Share Posted November 24, 2016 Traf (or others) Out of interest if a particular market does drift pretty significantly does that ever put you off backing it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted November 24, 2016 Author Share Posted November 24, 2016 There are plenty of horses who are backed as if defeat is out of the question only to make mugs of punters following the money, and plenty who outrun odds that had been drifting like a barge before the flag. It always worries me more when the drift is significantly more pronounced on the exchanges. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted November 25, 2016 Author Share Posted November 25, 2016 Decent racing at Newbury today. One Track Mind ought to win the novice chase at 1.35 if his hurdling form translates to fences, but he's not run for seven months and he's yet to jump a fence in public. I'd rather take a big price about the outsider of the five runners, Our Kaempfer. He wasn't too far behind the favourite on official ratings over hurdles and he's already beaten the second favourite on worse terms this season. I'm struggling to see why he's a 10/1 chance. I wasn't particularly taken by Ballyoptic before he fell at Wetherby last time and prefer Unowhatimeanharry to take last season's progressive form into a new campaign in the Long Distance Hurdle at 2.10. His yard has been going well and he has a decent record first time out. The handicap chase at 2.45 looks fairly competitive but I've had a bit on Double Shuffle, who was well fancied at Cheltenham the other week before the ground went against him. He should go better today with conditions likely to be much more in his favour and could be a big price at around 8/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevieb Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 Cheers enzo. Stuck a fiver on the 14.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted November 25, 2016 Moderators Share Posted November 25, 2016 Decent racing at Newbury today. One Track Mind ought to win the novice chase at 1.35 if his hurdling form translates to fences, but he's not run for seven months and he's yet to jump a fence in public. I'd rather take a big price about the outsider of the five runners, Our Kaempfer. He wasn't too far behind the favourite on official ratings over hurdles and he's already beaten the second favourite on worse terms this season. I'm struggling to see why he's a 10/1 chance. I wasn't particularly taken by Ballyoptic before he fell at Wetherby last time and prefer Unowhatimeanharry to take last season's progressive form into a new campaign in the Long Distance Hurdle at 2.10. His yard has been going well and he has a decent record first time out. The handicap chase at 2.45 looks fairly competitive but I've had a bit on Double Shuffle, who was well fancied at Cheltenham the other week before the ground went against him. He should go better today with conditions likely to be much more in his favour and could be a big price at around 8/1. took the first one without the favourite neednt have bothered as the favourite was as good as you thought he might be OK had a decent run but beat by a good un thumbs up for uknowhatimean, i can eat tionight lets see how we do with DS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sweep Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 Just had an interest tickle on Double Shuffle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted November 25, 2016 Moderators Share Posted November 25, 2016 enzo knows nowt seriously, most notable thing looked like stilleto has run his last Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted November 25, 2016 Author Share Posted November 25, 2016 Just had an interest tickle on Double ShuffleYou should have just had a double shuffle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sweep Posted November 25, 2016 Share Posted November 25, 2016 You should have just had a double shuffle. Aye, maybe It was a cracking finish to the race though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted November 26, 2016 Share Posted November 26, 2016 Traf (or others) Out of interest if a particular market does drift pretty significantly does that ever put you off backing it? Not at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted November 26, 2016 Author Share Posted November 26, 2016 Antony looks like he's got plenty more improvement in him so I'll take him for the 1.30 at Newbury at around 7/1. That makes Saphir du Rheu difficult to ignore in the Hennessy at 9/1. The Fighting Fifth at Newcastle looks competitive despite a small field but Sceau Royal's form going into the race makes him the obvious one, though the opposition has plenty of scope for improvement and he won't be much of a price. I like Bristol de Mai in the Rehearsal Chase on the same card at around 9/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted December 3, 2016 Author Share Posted December 3, 2016 Like The Young Master and Seventh Sky over the big fences at Aintree today. Tingle Creek looks a cracking race but I fancy it could suit God's Own. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 For Good Measure is going to be this season's horse to back every run bar the race he finally wins. At a million to one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zurichwhite Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 Hong Kong international races tomorrow. For the Vase, can't see anyone beating Highland Reel, easy double your money Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
enzo gambaro Posted December 10, 2016 Author Share Posted December 10, 2016 I don't think I'd be rushing to oppose him. Plenty with chances in the big handicap at Cheltenham. Village Vic could jump them daft but he'd have to be some horse to win carrying 11-12. I thought Frodon was running a decent race last time before jumping slipped his mind - he's getting lumps of weight and is worth another try at 11/1. I'd have thought Aso would want it to bucket down, and Buywise is odds on to run on for place money when the race is all but over. I think you could chance an outsider in the novice hurdle, so I'm having a bob on Impulsive Star. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevieb Posted December 10, 2016 Share Posted December 10, 2016 I don't think I'd be rushing to oppose him. Plenty with chances in the big handicap at Cheltenham. Village Vic could jump them daft but he'd have to be some horse to win carrying 11-12. I thought Frodon was running a decent race last time before jumping slipped his mind - he's getting lumps of weight and is worth another try at 11/1. I'd have thought Aso would want it to bucket down, and Buywise is odds on to run on for place money when the race is all but over. I think you could chance an outsider in the novice hurdle, so I'm having a bob on Impulsive Star. Good shout on the 13.50, can you post earlier next week though as I'd had my bets on before you posted this! I'm doing profit maximiser and I covered 22 races across a load of bookies today and tonight and I didn't trigger a single free bet. Fucking wounded! When I needed a second place it won and when I wanted a win it was nowhere to be seen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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