Wways Election Poll

[Salford Trotter]

Oh dear

[stevieb]

Oh dear oh dear

[HomerJay]

Here we go. Hours of talking about exit polls which are proven to mean fuck all.

 

Fair play to these two guys dismissing them.

 

Ruins BBC's jibber jabber though

Edited June 8, 2017 by HomerJay

[HomerJay]

Considering how vocal labour voters have been, I'm gonna assume that the exit poll is in the same vein.

 

Therefore, I'm going for the blues to piss this...

[birch-chorley]

Exit polls are generally spot on

 

Won't be more than 2% off

 

Not enough to give TM more seats than she started with, not enough to make a Labour led coalition possible

 

Bye bye TM

[HomerJay]

Can you see what the exit says about Chorley birch?

Edited June 8, 2017 by HomerJay

[birch-chorley]

Labour hold mate

 

Edit - looks safe as well

 

Seems Conservatives have picked up seats in Wales and Scotland whilst Labour have taken seats from Conservatives in England whilst firming up the other swing seats like Chorley

Edited June 8, 2017 by birch-chorley

[Escobarp]

BBC Scotland politics correspondent saying highly sceptical about exit poll as for snp to lose 22 seats is highly highly unlikely and thus questions the credability of the exit poll results

 

I still think Tory majority albeit small

[birch-chorley]

Looks like Labour take South Ribble from Conservative

 

Bolton West as well

 

Labour done very well up North

[Casino]

Looks like Labour take South Ribble from Conservative

 

Bolton West as well

 

Labour done very well up North

Only if you believe the exit poll

 

I dont

[leigh white]

Only if you believe the exit poll

 

I dont

With Atherton and Westhoughton being part of Bolton West, Labour will win it easy this time.

[Guest]

With Atherton and Westhoughton being part of Bolton West, Labour will win it easy this time.

 

 

Have they changed the constituency from last time?

[HomerJay]

fwiw

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2017-40104373

[leigh white]

Have they changed the constituency from last time?

No, but it baffled a lot of people with the change.

[HomerJay]

odds shortening on blue majority since those 1st two results. now at 1.6 in from 1.8

 

2.7 for no majority

[KP]

Usually not far off and very similar to last years exit polls.

 

I'm not convinced they're spot on given those first two results.

[KP]

Make that 3.

[Not in Crawley]

Has Mounts lit his cigar yet?

[leigh white]

Bolton West, a little blue surrounded by red.

[Traf]

Looking like a Tory/DUP coalition

[jayjayoghani]

it's 220 each Labour & Cons at time of writing.

 

So the Cons need 106 out of 149 remaining seats to win.

 

Unlikely? Malc, you still up?

[Traf]

it's 220 each Labour & Cons at time of writing.

 

So the Cons need 106 out of 149 remaining seats to win.

 

Unlikely? Malc, you still up?

 

They'll get 95-100

[birch-chorley]

Looks like Labour are going to end up 60 seats behind the Conservatives, 150 seats behind the result Tony Balir achieved in 1997 yet they're celebrating like they've won the thing?

 

After 7 years of Tory austerity they should be doing much better, it seems like second is acceptable now even when you throw the kitchen sink at it and the opposition offers nothing

 

The Tories will get rid of May and re align behind someone else who will likely come out with a much better manifesto

 

What else will Labour throw in that hasn't already been promised

[Biggish Dave]

I like what a 'Times' journalist has said "it's like May watched Hilary's campaign and said lets do it like that"

[MalcolmW]

it's 220 each Labour & Cons at time of writing.

 

So the Cons need 106 out of 149 remaining seats to win.

 

Unlikely? Malc, you still up?

 

Yes (I went to bed 1pm till 7pm). I'm hanging on now till the paper shop opens.

 

It will be a minority Tory government, probably 3 or 4 seats short of a majority, so dependent on DUP support but not in coalition.

DUP and SF have taken 16 (or possibly 17) of the 18 NI seats.

The 10 DUP will have greater influence as a result, and SFs principles will also aid the government.

If all the SF seats had gone to SDLP (who would actually represent their constituents in Parliament) a Labour coalition could have held control.

What is interesting is how Corbyn handles his party now. Does he offer posts to those who flounced out on him last year, or stick with the inexperienced yoof promoted above their experience?

As for May, she may perhaps carry on through the negotiations at best, but will surely not lead another election campaign unless it is very soon and possibly not even then.