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L/H White

Road to Cheltenham

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1 hour ago, Traf said:

Not a bad plan.

Be even better if you can forward me some long priced winners. :) 

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Haha, can try.

I'm due a bad Festival, having cleaned up over the last five or six.

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Late (ish) decision to go for me and my old man we bought tickets last night. Tuesday in the Best Mate to avoid the crowds. 

Hoping for another windfall like when Un Temps Pour Tout won the Ultima two festivals back now. Cant Wait

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At last a welcome distraction from takeovers, relegation struggles and Brexit is here.

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These are my bets 

1 Al dancer (win), Fakir Doudaries (ew)

2 Glen Forsa (ew), Duc Des Genievres (ew)

3 Up for review (ew), beware the bear (ew)

4 Apples (win)

5 Benie Des Dieux (win)

6 Tower Bridge (ew)

7 Ballyward (win)

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Treble: Klassical Dream, Laurina & Benie Des Dieux.

Ew Yankee: Aramon, Up for Review, Melon & Stormy Ireland

Also like Noble Endeavour and Cubomania for Davy Russell at bigger prices

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That was impressive by Ruby on Klassical Dream. Itchy Feet and Thomas Darby ran crackers too

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Posted (edited)

Abject by the big 3 in the Champion Hurdle.

Bookies must be loving it, punters probably done their roll already.

Edited by jmjhb

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Ruby down on the odds on fav at the last, i'm over to Twitter to watch all the mugs moaning

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5 hours ago, jmjhb said:

Ruby down on the odds on fav at the last, i'm over to Twitter to watch all the mugs moaning

Conspiracy Theories galore, "fucking fix, he always falls at the last"

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2 hours ago, Traf said:

Conspiracy Theories galore, "fucking fix, he always falls at the last"

Yeah. I almost want the bookies to win based on the general reaction...

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Posted (edited)

Bookies certainly won today but I am up so hey ho on to tomorrow (wind permitting). Sod the conspiracy theories, no way Ruby throws a Cheltenham win (twice)

Edited by Wardrobe

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Don't be fooled by the "oooh, we had to pay out £1m after that winner" bullshit.

If they balanced the book properly, they still make 10%+ on every race, check the over-round figures.

If they price a horse up at Even money, it means it has a 45% chance of winning and the overall price is determined by weight of money for all horses, not just that one. Look at the Betfair or Tote model.

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7 hours ago, Traf said:

Don't be fooled by the "oooh, we had to pay out £1m after that winner" bullshit.

If they balanced the book properly, they still make 10%+ on every race, check the over-round figures.

If they price a horse up at Even money, it means it has a 45% chance of winning and the overall price is determined by weight of money for all horses, not just that one. Look at the Betfair or Tote model.

Hills had a 128% overround on the Supreme despite offering 7 places!

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Champ/Delta/Altior treble today to pay for my holidays

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4 hours ago, jmjhb said:

Hills had a 128% overround on the Supreme despite offering 7 places!

There you, folks.

They offered the most places, they're competitive on prices and still make 28%.

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Craig Noone running in the 4.10 today, might have a pound on him. Timewaitsfornoone 

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Donkeys have a poor record against thoroughbreds, mate.

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fairly big shift on Quel Destin in the first here today. got on at 8s now 9/2

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That broken leg on Sir Erec was grim.

Looked majestic too, what a fucking waste.

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Very, very sad indeed.

Personally, I wouldn't have let him run. Not talking from hindsight here, but I think that if you're not race ready at the off time, you don't run. Races shouldn't be held up.

Secondly, the superstitious side of me, says don't run horses that lose a shoe.

However, these are only my feelings : there was absolutely no reason why he shouldn't have run today and it was a freak incident.

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shit... I was watching on a stream, saw the shoe incident, and all was rosy as I was strolling around town. thought money was safe; link goes down, move to a simulation and suddenly he isn't there.

 

that's awful

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