peelyfeet Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Just now, Farnywhite said: Go on then ? Viruses grow exponentially. This virus is transmitted to roughly 3 people from every 1 that is infected. Patient 1 infects 3 people. A few days later patient 2,3,4 infect 3 people each, so now you've got 13 infected. A few days later patient 5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13 infect 3 people each, so now you have 31 infected, and so on. That's exponential growth. If a virus infects more than 1, it carries on infecting everyone until enough people in the herd have immunity to stop it. The virologists estimate this virus needs to infect around 66%-80% of the world population before it stops. What % of the earth population do you think its infected so far? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Escobarp Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 15 minutes ago, Farnywhite said: Go on then ? World population goes up by 220,00 per day This isn’t a case of 1 dies but it’s ok cos another is born to replace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farnywhite Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Escobarp said: This isn’t a case of 1 dies but it’s ok cos another is born to replace. Of course not but it’s not Armageddon like some are trying to make out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Escobarp Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Farnywhite said: Of course not but it’s not Armageddon like some are trying to make out We simply don’t know. And like I’ve said I’m Taking the reaction of the various governments around the world as a signal this is very very serious. They aren’t doing this for a laugh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mickbrown Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Escobarp said: We simply don’t know. And like I’ve said I’m Taking the reaction of the various governments around the world as a signal this is very very serious. They aren’t doing this for a laugh You’ve come around Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter only1swanny Posted March 20, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted March 20, 2020 I'd be surprised if I don't have it/had it.. Workplace with 1700 people, students I teach daily were off with it (suspected as they dont diagnose it). I don't tend to get Ill or stay Ill for long I'm sure there are others who will carry it and not notice. , Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farnywhite Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 (edited) 11 minutes ago, peelyfeet said: Viruses grow exponentially. This virus is transmitted to roughly 3 people from every 1 that is infected. Patient 1 infects 3 people. A few days later patient 2,3,4 infect 3 people each, so now you've got 13 infected. A few days later patient 5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13 infect 3 people each, so now you have 31 infected, and so on. That's exponential growth. If a virus infects more than 1, it carries on infecting everyone until enough people in the herd have immunity to stop it. The virologists estimate this virus needs to infect around 66%-80% of the world population before it stops. What % of the earth population do you think its infected so far? Fair play you have come up with some good figures there no idea if there right but take it they are but very few people who contract it will die unless you are at risk any way .under lying illness s etc . Not going to say anymore about it don’t want to wind any one up just my opinion 👍 Edited March 20, 2020 by Farnywhite Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peelyfeet Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Just now, Farnywhite said: Fair play you have come up with some good figures there no idea if there right but take it they are but very few people who contract it will die unless you are at risk any way .under lying unless etc . Not going to say anymore about it don’t want to wind any one up just my opinion 👍 Ok mate. The error a lot of people are making is thinking the amount of people dead so far is low compared to the world population, when It's only taken hold in 4 big cities so far, about 0.5% of the world population. If the virologists are right theres at least another 64.5% to get through yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 24 minutes ago, Farnywhite said: Of course not but it’s not Armageddon like some are trying to make out If in doubt.... ’the sky won’t fall in’ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ani Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 32 minutes ago, Farnywhite said: Of course not but it’s not Armageddon like some are trying to make out How many deaths would you class Armageddon ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kent_white Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 (edited) On the topic of exponential growth. A chessboard has 64 pieces. If you put 1 grain of rice on the first square, 2 on the second, 4 on the 3rd, 8 on the fourth - so doubling each time. By the time you got to the 64th square you'd have put down 18,446,744,073,709,551,615. Edited March 20, 2020 by kent_white Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Spider Posted March 20, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted March 20, 2020 36 minutes ago, Farnywhite said: Of course not but it’s not Armageddon like some are trying to make out Out of interest, what’s your body count that would be classed as “Armageddon”? because if we carry on as we are, it’ll be tens of thousands by June. Curious to know what would count, that’s assuming no one you know dies, in which case i imagine you’ll suddenly be taking it much more seriously, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Spider Posted March 20, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted March 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, kent_white said: On the topic of exponential growth. A chessboard has 64 pieces. If you put 1 grain of rice on the first square, 2 on the second, 4 on the 3rd, 8 on the fourth - so doubling each time. By the time you got to the 64th square you'd need to put down 18,446,744,073,709,551,615 grains of rice. Rice? You sound like Trump. China this, China that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Cheese Posted March 20, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted March 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, kent_white said: On the topic of exponential growth. A chessboard has 64 pieces. If you put 1 grain of rice on the first square, 2 on the second, 4 on the 3rd, 8 on the fourth - so doubling each time. By the time you got to the 64th square you'd have put down 18,446,744,073,709,551,615 grains of rice. Bollocks. I'd have stopped putting them down at about 160 I reckon. Fuck that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boothy Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 I was in Kunshan first week of January. Convinced now that I already had this virus as the flu and cough i had was unbearable, cut the trip short. Plus i got rinsed £3,900 on Nanjing Rd which didn't help. Anyway, long term pain for British manufacturing is my concern now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kent_white Posted March 20, 2020 Share Posted March 20, 2020 Just now, Spider said: Rice? You sound like Trump. China this, China that Some day soon he's going to come out with one of those conical hats on and say 'hah sooooo' Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boothy Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, Spider said: Rice? You sound like Trump. China this, China that Let me tell you about your blood bamboo kid, it ain't Coca Cola.... its rice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Zico Posted March 21, 2020 Moderators Share Posted March 21, 2020 55 minutes ago, peelyfeet said: Viruses grow exponentially. This virus is transmitted to roughly 3 people from every 1 that is infected. Patient 1 infects 3 people. A few days later patient 2,3,4 infect 3 people each, so now you've got 13 infected. A few days later patient 5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13 infect 3 people each, so now you have 31 infected, and so on. That's exponential growth. If a virus infects more than 1, it carries on infecting everyone until enough people in the herd have immunity to stop it. The virologists estimate this virus needs to infect around 66%-80% of the world population before it stops. What % of the earth population do you think its infected so far? I reckon less than 0.001% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kent_white Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Some people think Mika Hakkinen. he from Hong Kong, but he from Finland Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Zico Posted March 21, 2020 Moderators Share Posted March 21, 2020 25 minutes ago, kent_white said: On the topic of exponential growth. A chessboard has 64 pieces. If you put 1 grain of rice on the first square, 2 on the second, 4 on the 3rd, 8 on the fourth - so doubling each time. By the time you got to the 64th square you'd have put down 18,446,744,073,709,551,615. How many bags of rice will i need to buy to test this theory? And can anyone lend me a chess board? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter MickyD Posted March 21, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted March 21, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Escobarp Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 7 hours ago, mickbrown said: You’ve come around I’ve always said it was a serious threat ive always taken heed of what the government have said and then made my own decisions around how I adjust my own life mick. As I’ve pointed out yesterday I’ve been effectively in isolation for last 5 days. Other than a trip to the supermarket which apparently according to @DirtySanchez I got wrong as I used the self checkout. How bad of me. this is a threat and I want to get back to normal ASAP and way we all do that really is digging in and trusting the people in charge of the country. Simple as that. It’s fucking boring but has to be done Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gonzo Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 6 hours ago, Spider said: Rice? You sound like Trump. China this, China that Chink mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 Some amazing scenes in Italy on these balcony’s https://www.facebook.com/813550432/posts/10163024109050433/?d=n Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big E Posted March 21, 2020 Share Posted March 21, 2020 14 hours ago, Ani said: Tax avoiders ? Its ok. this time next year we will get zero hour contracts with no perks of being employed yet paying a ridiculous amount of tax and NI. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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