jmjhb Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Caputo is the chief Florida correspondent for Politico, but yes, 'Twitter'. That's how media works these days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not in Crawley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, bolton va va said: Also, I think a lot of white people retire to Florida & the BLM connection would put them off from voting democrat. Florida is huge. really huge. South of the state, lots of cubans as well who will always vote republican. Around more liberal areas such as Tampa, more democrat. It's waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay to simple to blame one, very niche, political movement. Unless you follow certain people on twitter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not in Crawley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, jmjhb said: Caputo is the chief Florida correspondent for Politico, but yes, 'Twitter'. That's how media works these days. Erm, ok then. Christ. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Carlos Posted November 4, 2020 Moderators Share Posted November 4, 2020 If you count votes beforehand, word gets out and encourages the other side to vote. Oberver effect, puts doubts over the integrity of the election. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevieb Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Carlos said: If you count votes beforehand, word gets out and encourages the other side to vote. Oberver effect, puts doubts over the integrity of the election. Works with if you count postal votes sent late in the day too then I imagine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Spider said: How many is 15%? 570k votes to play for Trumps lead down to 27k and falling (was 200k) All eyes on Michigan Edited November 4, 2020 by birch-chorley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Spider Posted November 4, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2020 Always had a soft spot for the Detroit Lions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmjhb Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, Not in Crawley said: Florida is huge. really huge. South of the state, lots of cubans as well who will always vote republican. Around more liberal areas such as Tampa, more democrat. It's waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay to simple to blame one, very niche, political movement. Unless you follow certain people on twitter. Certainly if the Democrats want to win TX and FL in future they have to understand the nuances of the Hispanic vote better Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Carlos said: If you count votes beforehand, word gets out and encourages the other side to vote. Oberver effect, puts doubts over the integrity of the election. Wouldn’t suggest counting them before hand However some states counted all the postal votes first and Biden stormed into a lead (Ohio), when they moved into counting in person votes Trump romped home in that state Otger states (Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, Georgia and Pennsylvanian) are counting the postal votes last thus its all going the other way You think they would just count a bit of each as they go to avoid such swings (and Presidents claiming a rigged election) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Spider Posted November 4, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 hours ago, Mounts Kipper said: Sky news predicting a Biden win, think they’d be better checking the betting odds. Sky still seem to be predicting a win Think the bookies may be watching Sky. 5/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden gone from +10k to +20k in Wisconsin 350k to count, mainly postal Got to fancy Biden to take Wisconsin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elson Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 https://twitter.com/stevepop29/status/1323963242297888769?s=21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmjhb Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 More Twitter: That's without GA Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The more you look at it, the more Biden could win with a bit to spare Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Spider Posted November 4, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2020 If i'm reading this right, Biden now just needs to win the following: Maine (way ahead) Nevada (Ahead) Arizona (Slight lead) Wisconsin (Tight lead) Michigan (Losing but appears to be favourite) So Pennysylvania won't matter if he gets the above as it puts him on 271. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emus wig Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump out to 3.95 on betfair exchange . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Tonge moor green jacket Posted November 4, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2020 17 minutes ago, Carlos said: If you count votes beforehand, word gets out and encourages the other side to vote. Oberver effect, puts doubts over the integrity of the election. Absolutely. No reason that all postal votes couldn't be in a couple of days before so as to allow all counting to start immediately after closing time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Tonge moor green jacket said: Absolutely. No reason that all postal votes couldn't be in a couple of days before so as to allow all counting to start immediately after closing time. What if a day before the election some new things come out on a candidate? 100m vote via post, you ask them all to vote ‘early’ and it’s not as robust a process If its stamped yesterday, it’s allowed Most would have been posted days / weeks ago though, but that’s up to the person Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Rudy Posted November 4, 2020 Author Members Share Posted November 4, 2020 Looking like Joey will get Wisconsin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Spider said: If i'm reading this right, Biden now just needs to win the following: Maine (way ahead) Nevada (Ahead) Arizona (Slight lead) Wisconsin (Tight lead) Michigan (Losing but appears to be favourite) So Pennysylvania won't matter if he gets the above as it puts him on 271. Correct Hard to see a path for Trump with the current momentum for Biden I expect it to be a done deal for Biden today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmjhb Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 NV is closer than expected so far but they've got to count Clark County (Vegas) which has a ton of votes and is usually Dem Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Escobarp Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden has won it based on what’s left to fight for. But just going to be a shit storm For months now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Tonge moor green jacket Posted November 4, 2020 Site Supporter Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, birch-chorley said: What if a day before the election some new things come out on a candidate? 100m vote via post, you ask them all to vote ‘early’ and it’s not as robust a process If its stamped yesterday, it’s allowed Most would have been posted days / weeks ago though, but that’s up to the person Get your point, but that's the chance you take. I think postal votes here need to be in prior to voting day, so as to enable all votes to be counted, and not drag the process out like this. Would completely remove the situation we have now with the Don claiming bollocks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ani Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump voted by post himself. It is weird how the individual states all her their own rules and nuances. But everyone knew the rules. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CambridgeBWFC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Nevada has until the 10th finalise its count? That is crazy! Surely get all the croupiers from Vegas in to run the count, they could do it in a fraction of the time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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