Gonk Posted April 2, 2021 Share Posted April 2, 2021 On 28/03/2021 at 14:28, Traf said: Seem plausible, @Zico. Skybet have us at 4/1 for the title. To realise a return of £1020, you'd have to stake £204. They're essentially offering you just over 80% of true value. That's how cash out works, sadly. Personally I'd cash out the 7.5 @ £87 which covers all the stakes and let the others ride essentially as free bets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mounts Kipper Posted April 2, 2021 Share Posted April 2, 2021 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Ani said: I am not expecting him back this season. He is a big miss in games like today. Evatt said he’s now pain free and wanting to push on, so I’m hopeful he might be back in a couple of weeks. Edited April 2, 2021 by Mounts Kipper Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ani Posted April 2, 2021 Share Posted April 2, 2021 35 minutes ago, Mounts Kipper said: Evatt said he’s now pain free and wanting to push on, so I’m hopeful he might be back in a couple of weeks. That would be brilliant Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burndens Bogs Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 8 games left, i reckon W5 D1 L2 will piss automatic promotion. I think we're more than capable of achieving 80pts, because although we don't score many goals we have become not just difficult to beat but difficult to even score against - a good habit to have for the run in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUREADY2ROLL Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 After the run we have been on yesterday’s result was disappointing regardless that some have said they are happy with the point. Need to play a little better but we are more than capable of going on another winning streak: tomorrow’s game is key IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, RUREADY2ROLL said: After the run we have been on yesterday’s result was disappointing regardless that some have said they are happy with the point. Need to play a little better but we are more than capable of going on another winning streak: tomorrow’s game is key IMO Just don’t get beat like the FGR game the pressure is on them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dimron Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 21 minutes ago, Burndens Bogs said: 8 games left, i reckon W5 D1 L2 will piss automatic promotion. I think we're more than capable of achieving 80pts, because although we don't score many goals we have become not just difficult to beat but difficult to even score against - a good habit to have for the run in. Said to the missus yesterday we've become like Boring Boring Arsenal... "One nil to the Bolton, one nil to the Bolton..." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woolli Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 All big games from now on, but the biggest for me is Morecombe away! They have what looks like a very decent run in, stay undefeated there, and i think we go up! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUREADY2ROLL Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 1 minute ago, woolli said: All big games from now on, but the biggest for me is Morecombe away! They have what looks like a very decent run in, stay undefeated there, and i think we go up! Don’t think there are any easy games in this division - most teams are hard working and recent results back that up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmjhb Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 On 28/03/2021 at 12:51, jmjhb said: 58.6% chance of Top 3 18.3% 1st 20.9% 2nd 19.4% 3rd 78 points - 42.1% chance of promotion 79 points - 63.2% chance 52.0% chance of Top 3 7.9% 1st 17% 2nd 27.1% 3rd 77 points - 37.1% chance of promotion 78 points - 56.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razaldo9 Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, jmjhb said: 52.0% chance of Top 3 7.9% 1st 17% 2nd 27.1% 3rd 77 points - 37.1% chance of promotion 78 points - 56.1% Was just looking at this too. Think a win v Newport would be nice, given the Tranmere/ Cambridge game. Tranmere/ Morecambe/ FGR with about 20% chance each of top 3. Morecambe currently looking the most consistent. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevieb Posted April 3, 2021 Share Posted April 3, 2021 In answer to the original question... Yes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members Rudy Posted April 3, 2021 Members Share Posted April 3, 2021 58 minutes ago, stevieb said: In answer to the original question... Yes EIEIEIO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lt. Aldo Raine Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 @jmjhb how are you working out these percentages? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitesince63 Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 21 hours ago, RUREADY2ROLL said: Don’t think there are any easy games in this division - most teams are hard working and recent results back that up. Really? To be honest Ru, I don’t think there are any hard games for us if we play to our strengths. Certainly the top teams who need to win and will come at us should be the ones we’re most likely to beat, just based on the fact we have better players than they do. I’m entirely confident. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 Hard working maybe but it’s a very poor league, we had an off day Saturday but we’re streets ahead if we had this set up from the off we’d be promoted by now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Ratwhite Posted April 4, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 4, 2021 23 hours ago, RUREADY2ROLL said: Don’t think there are any easy games in this division - most teams are hard working and recent results back that up. Said it half way though the season. There are no good teams in this league, including us. Consistency is what matters. We wont win any games 4-0. It's just winning that matters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benny The Ball Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 On 03/04/2021 at 11:03, Dimron said: Said to the missus yesterday we've become like Boring Boring Arsenal... "One nil to the Bolton, one nil to the Bolton..." Have you tried "One Nil to the Wanderers ... One Nil to the Wanderers ... " Flows so much better if you are singing it - reckon the Missus might appreciate it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmjhb Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 3 hours ago, Lt. Aldo Raine said: @jmjhb how are you working out these percentages? Not mine, I'm taking them from a page that an Exeter fan made http://www.probs4.club/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lt. Aldo Raine Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 9 minutes ago, jmjhb said: Not mine, I'm taking them from a page that an Exeter fan made http://www.probs4.club/ Ta Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 0% The probability that the Exeter fan has kissed a girl he's not related to. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dimron Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 6 hours ago, Benny The Ball said: Have you tried "One Nil to the Wanderers ... One Nil to the Wanderers ... " Flows so much better if you are singing it - reckon the Missus might appreciate it I'll serenade her tonight and let you know how I get on... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ani Posted April 4, 2021 Share Posted April 4, 2021 Fridays result actually did our chances of going up no harm, but significantly reduced chances of us winning the league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mounts Kipper Posted April 5, 2021 Share Posted April 5, 2021 11 hours ago, Ani said: Fridays result actually did our chances of going up no harm, but significantly reduced chances of us winning the league. I wouldn’t say significantly reduced our chances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter desperado Posted April 5, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 5, 2021 On 03/04/2021 at 11:16, RUREADY2ROLL said: Don’t think there are any easy games in this division - most teams are hard working and recent results back that up. 22 hours ago, Whitesince63 said: Really? To be honest Ru, I don’t think there are any hard games for us if we play to our strengths. Certainly the top teams who need to win and will come at us should be the ones we’re most likely to beat, just based on the fact we have better players than they do. I’m entirely confident. We had this debate a while back and my opinion hasn’t changed and is more aligned to @RUREADY2ROLL. The issue is consistency. The standard in this league is better than I thought it would be. There’s some talented players, progressive managers, sides who can execute a plan to stop other teams playing or impose their strengths to get results against anybody. Crawley and Cheltenham did it against sides in the top 2 tiers, as did today’s opponents Newport, who beat Watford, Swansea and drew against Newcastle. While we are on a good run and on our day capable of beating anyone in this league, we are, as we have seen these last few weeks, not immune to what plagues all these sides in the bottom tier, consistency. And let’s be honest, that’s why we are all there. I think it’s easy to get carried away thinking we will brush away every side we play and perform to our best every week, it’s not going to happen. And while I’ll be disappointed if we don’t win today, I won’t be coming on here calling out the players, IE, and their decision-making inconsistencies, if things don’t go to plan. I would still believe that any result today would still leave us in a position for promotion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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