marple whites Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 4 games against teams in the top 12 is going to be tough. need to win Tuesday, then at least if we draw at morecombe we would still be above them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Zico Posted April 18, 2021 Moderators Share Posted April 18, 2021 Cash out on title gone from 186 to 69 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmjhb Posted April 18, 2021 Share Posted April 18, 2021 On 14/04/2021 at 11:32, jmjhb said: 78.2% chance of Top 3 11.7% 1st 30.3% 2nd 36.3% 3rd 76 points gives a 44.6% chance of promotion 77 points gives a 71.6% chance 7 more points needed, lads 51.7% chance of Top 3 3.0% 1st 11.8% 2nd 36.9% 3rd 76 points gives a 49.4% chance of promotion 77 points gives a 75.5% chance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Spider Posted April 18, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 18, 2021 We’re going up. Simple as. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 Avoid defeat Saturday and I think we’ll be ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted April 20, 2021 Moderators Share Posted April 20, 2021 Either way, its gonna be painful Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Tonge moor green jacket Posted April 20, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 20, 2021 Cash out dropping again now surely, despite the victory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ani Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 1 minute ago, Tonge moor green jacket said: Cash out dropping again now surely, despite the victory. On title yes, not sure promotion. Top 7 might pay out in full. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Tonge moor green jacket Posted April 20, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ani said: On title yes, not sure promotion. Top 7 might pay out in full. Of course, I'm more thinking the guys hanging on for the bigger money of top spot. Think that's gone now, though not impossible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Alf Hartigan Posted April 20, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 20, 2021 1 hour ago, Tonge moor green jacket said: Of course, I'm more thinking the guys hanging on for the bigger money of top spot. Think that's gone now, though not impossible. Offering me £61.76 on my £100.00 at 10-1. Think I'll leave it. Win our last three and it could well come off. On the other hand, we look a bit shit again recently 🤔 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted April 20, 2021 Share Posted April 20, 2021 The Whites are going up. UTFW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Horwich Posted April 21, 2021 Moderators Share Posted April 21, 2021 No Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted April 21, 2021 Moderators Share Posted April 21, 2021 despite our 'blip' i believe we are one point off the top of the form table of the teams at the top...ie as far down as newport Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Tonge moor green jacket Posted April 21, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 21, 2021 9 minutes ago, Casino said: despite our 'blip' i believe we are one point off the top of the form table of the teams at the top...ie as far down as newport Top four all won 3 of last five. We've lost 2, the rest have drawn one and lost one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razaldo9 Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Think we're comfortably the best team since the Jan window. Morecambe are 4th playing us when we still need results. I'm nervous about it but no reason we shouldn't be able to win. https://www.twtd.co.uk/league-tables/competition:league-two/daterange/fromdate:2021-Jan-31/todate:2021-Jun-01/type:home-and-away/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyther_Matt Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 15 hours ago, Tonge moor green jacket said: Of course, I'm more thinking the guys hanging on for the bigger money of top spot. Think that's gone now, though not impossible. Mine are all each way based on the top three so I’m happy to let mine ride. Main thing is avoiding the play offs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members burnden Posted April 21, 2021 Members Share Posted April 21, 2021 2 hours ago, Casino said: despite our 'blip' i believe we are one point off the top of the form table of the teams at the top...ie as far down as newport Over the last 5 games https://www.flashscore.co.uk/standings/M7fKzFpC/WYmmpWOA/#form/overall/5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmjhb Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 (edited) On 18/04/2021 at 14:42, jmjhb said: 51.7% chance of Top 3 3.0% 1st 11.8% 2nd 36.9% 3rd 76 points gives a 49.4% chance of promotion 77 points gives a 75.5% chance Hmm, not sure I agree with this - despite winning last night our chances of top 3 have gone down 5%: 46.1% chance of Top 3 0.8% 1st 7.0% 2nd 38.2% 3rd 77 points gives a 41.6% chance of promotion 78 points gives a 62.8% chance Edited April 21, 2021 by jmjhb Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomski Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 E I E I E I O Bolton are back hello Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Tonge moor green jacket Posted April 21, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 21, 2021 2 hours ago, jmjhb said: Hmm, not sure I agree with this - despite winning last night our chances of top 3 have gone down 5%: 46.1% chance of Top 3 0.8% 1st 7.0% 2nd 38.2% 3rd 77 points gives a 41.6% chance of promotion 78 points gives a 62.8% chance Seems weird, unless it takes the form of other clubs into account too. That 78 points is actually quite telling- it means 5 points, which in turn means stopping Morecambe beating us. Could be vital. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razaldo9 Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 23 minutes ago, Tonge moor green jacket said: Seems weird, unless it takes the form of other clubs into account too. That 78 points is actually quite telling- it means 5 points, which in turn means stopping Morecambe beating us. Could be vital. Or remaining games? Morecambe H PPG 1.95 Exeter A PPG 1.23 Crawley H PPG 1.67 v Bolton A PPG 1.67 Walsall H PPG 1.23 Bradford A PPG 1.19 So on paper our opponents earn more points home/away respectively. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ani Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Beat Morecambe will go up. Draw will probably will Lose and we might not Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 Lose and forget it I know it’s been a very unpredictable league but morecambe have 2 good fixtures there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter desperado Posted April 21, 2021 Site Supporter Share Posted April 21, 2021 5 hours ago, burnden said: Over the last 5 games https://www.flashscore.co.uk/standings/M7fKzFpC/WYmmpWOA/#form/overall/5 You can end up making out our “form” to be whatever you want it to be. 4 games has us level on points with Morecambe, 8 has us above them. Play to our best and potential, which we have done more often than not since January we’ll win. I’ve accepted that this won’t be a comfortable or convincing scoreline but I’m sure the majority of us don’t give a shiny shite as long as we win. Some of us (not me) will be happy with a point. I get this as it still leaves it all in our hands. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marple whites Posted April 21, 2021 Share Posted April 21, 2021 38 minutes ago, radcliffewhite1 said: Lose and forget it I know it’s been a very unpredictable league but morecambe have 2 good fixtures there Unless Bradford need something from the last game to get in the play offs, could have done with them beating trampmere last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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