2013 Cheltenham Festival Tipping Comp.

[olispence]

Won't be about tonight or much of tomorrow so here are the ones not to back tomorrow.

 

 

1:30 – Swynmore

2:05 – Ranjaan

2:40 - O'faolains Boy

3:20 – Sir Des Champs

4:00 – Dante’s Storm

4:40 – Ma Filleule

5:15 – Alderwood

[Wardrobe]

Hope I have more luck at the track tomorrow than I have had on here so far!

 

Rolling Star Win

Shadow Catcher ew

At Fishers Cross win

Sir Deschamps win

Chapturrgeon ew

Gevery Chambertin ew

Marshal Zhukov ew

[royal white]

 

 

You'd hope so, but not the case!

 

7,000 points gives you a 10% deduction off commission, so you now pay 4.5% instead of 5%.

 

Plus betfair take 15% off your tally every week.

 

Just been speaking to uncle nob head, he said he reckons u will be sick if you say the way I gamble!!! Ha

[stevieb]

20 quid free bet on Ruby walshs ride int gold cup tomorrow.

[ex_midlandwhite]

1:30 – Rolling Star

2:05 – Ranjaan e/w

2:40 - At Fishers Cross

3:20 – Bobs Worth

4:00 – Tricky Trickster e/w

4:40 – Gevrey Chambertin

5:15 – Tetlami e/w

[Traf]

Just been speaking to uncle nob head, he said he reckons u will be sick if you say the way I gamble!!! Ha

 

Give my regards to the Ginger Manc.

[Traf]

4th and final day looks a lot like this:

 

 

1.30 JCB Triumph Hurdle (4yo, Class 1, 2m 1f, 17 runners)

 

2.05 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle (5yo+, Class 1, 2m 1f, 28 runners)

 

2.40 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (4yo+, Class 1, 3m, 16 runners)

 

3.20 Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (5yo+, Class 1, 3m 2f 110y, 11 runners)

 

4.00 CGA Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup (5yo+, Class 2, 3m 2f 110y, 24 runners)

 

4.40 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (4yo+, Class 2, 2m 4f 110y, 24 runners)

 

5.15 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase Challenge Cup (5yo+, Class 1, 2m 110y, 24 runners)

 

A nice easy finish for us punters with only 24 runners in each of the last three races!

[royal white]

1.30 stocktons wing ew

2.05 midnight game ew

2.40 African gold win

3.20 bobs worth win

4.00 chapoturgeon win

4.40 make your mark ew

5.15 his excellency ew

 

[L/H White]

1:05 Hidden Justice E/W

2:05 Edgardo Sol E/W

2:40 O'Faolians Boy E/W

3:20 Long Run Win

4:00 Doctor Kingsley E/W

4:40 Paint the Clouds E/W

5:15 Shooters Wood E/W

[Traf]

It's possibly a little late in the day now, but yesterday served to remind us that backing favourites is usually not the best policy. The very short ones do tend to win, but those that aren't odds on don't.

 

At the Cheltenham Festival since 2005 to yesterday, only 7 out of 69 (-10.14%) favourites priced between evens and 6/1 have gone on to win, meaning you'd have lost 34pts backing them all = 49.28% of stakes.

The numbers for non-handicaps is slightly better, but still poor: 18/87 (20.69%) for a loss of 14.4pts (16.5% of stakes)

 

Overall: just 25/156 = 16.03%. This is less than half the figure favourites would normally achieve and a total loss of 48.4pts = 31% of your total stakes.

 

This year, Back In Focus won at 9/4, but

My Tent Or Yours was 2nd at 15/8

Colour Squadron was 5th at 9/2

Unioniste was 4th at 5/2

Pendra was 17th at 6/1

Dynaste was 2nd at 11/8

Sam Winner was 18th at 4/1

First Lieutenant was 2nd at 2/1

Oscar Whisky was Pulled up at 9/4

Ballynagour was 8th at 7/2

Super Duty was 2nd at 11/2

Arabella Boy was 7th at 9/4

 

The bookies might have been bleating after Wednesday, but they don't often lose at Cheltenham.

[Tyldesley White]

1:30 Far West Win

2:05 Fenomeno E/W

2:40 Our Vinnie E/W

3:20 Siviniaco Conti Win

4:00 Chapoturgen Win

4:40 Village Vic Win

5:15 Drumshambo E/W

[Traf]

PS Now I've raised the issue of favourites again, Long Run will piss it just to wind me up.

[tarian1979]

captain conan win

discoteca ew

at fishers cross win

sir des champs win

backstage win

first avenue ew

TANKS for that WIN

[Manny Road North]

1.30 Far West Win

2.05 Ranjaan E/W

2.40 At Fishers Cross Win

3.20 Sir Des Champs Win

4.00 Backstage Win

4.40 Make Your Mark E/W

5.15 Alderwood E/W

[Gumbo]

Didnt have time to input my horses yesterday but in short.

 

I got F all.

My account has lost writen straight through!

[Gumbo]

Todays Guff

 

13.30- Our Conor e/w

14.05- Ifandbutwhynot e/w

14.40- African Gold e/w

15.20- Long Run e/w

16.00- Salisfy (w)

16.40- Vintage Vic e/w

17.15- Alderwood e/w

[Traf]

Didnt have time to input my horses yesterday but in short.

 

I got F all.

My account has lost writen straight through!

 

It was a tough day all round in fairness.

I made a small profit overall, but missed out on a 370/1 placepot, when Reve de Sivola failed to cling on to 3rd place, missing out by a nose!

[Traf]

1:05 Hidden Justice E/W

2:05 Edgardo Sol E/W

2:40 O'Faolians Boy E/W

3:20 Long Run Win

4:00 Doctor Kingsley E/W

4:40 Paint the Clouds E/W

5:15 Shooters Wood E/W

 

You have mail.

[zurichwhite]

1.30 Hidden Justice e/w

2.00 Ifandbutwhynot e/w

2.40 Utopie des Bordes e/w

3.20 Long Run

4.00 Chapoturgon

4.40 Ma Filleule e/w

5.15 Kumbeshwar e/w

[rochdale white]

1:30 Far West win

2:05 ifandbutwhynot each way

2:40 Utopie Des Bordes each way

3:20 Silviniaco conti win

4:00 Chapoturgeon win

4:40 Gevrey Chambertain win

5:15 Rody win

[Traf]

captain conan win

discoteca ew

at fishers cross win

sir des champs win

backstage win

first avenue ew

TANKS for that WIN

 

No Capt Conan today.

You can either reselect before 1.30 or take the fav.

[Traf]

1.30: Far West

2.05: Edgardo Sol E/W

2.40: Our Vinnie E/W

3.20: Sir Des Champs

4.00: Dr Kinsgley E/W

4.40: Ma Filleule E/W

5.15: Tetlami E/W

[wayne cramp]

1.30 far west

2.05 ifandbutwhynot

2.40 at fishers cross

3.20 sir des champs

4.00 salsify

4.40 gevrey chambertin

5.15 tetlami ew

[enzo gambaro]

1.30 Our Conor

2.05 Dan Breen e/w

2.40 African Gold

3.20 Captain Chris

4.00 Coombe Hill e/w

4.40 Art Professor e/w

5.15 Petit Robin e/w

[Traf]

1.30 JCB Triumph Hurdle (4yo, Class 1, 2m 1f, 17 runners)

 

4. Far West (Tyldesley, Manny Road North, Rochdale, Traf, Cramp) 2nd

6. Hidden Justice (Ryan E/W, Zurich E/W)

11. Our Conor (Gumbo E/W, Enzo) won at 5.60 / 2.11

12. Rolling Star (Wardrobe, Ex Midlands)

15. Stockton's Wing (Royal White)

16. Swynmor (Olispence)

Edited March 15, 2013 by Traf