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Wanderers Ways. Neil Thompson 1961-2021

Meanwhile in Ukraine


Rudy

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1 hour ago, Spider said:

I read Tim Marshall’s stuff, he tends to be fairly accurate about geopolitical events, and he’s absolutely convinced Putin will use tactical nukes.

That will drag NATO into the fray and from there it really is down to just how mental Putin actually is in terms of how far it escalates.

The odds of it happening do seem much shorter now.

 

I read a piece this morning from an ex CIA guy that was really good. He thinks it is likely also, quite a frightening read.

https://www.justsecurity.org/83605/addressing-putins-nuclear-threat-thinking-like-the-cold-war-kgb-officer-that-he-was/

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7 minutes ago, Spider said:

Putin is now evacuating Russians from Kherson as the Ukrainian army roll in.

In case you were wondering where his most likely target for a tactical nuke was.

He's attempting to evacuate Ukrainians, not Russians.

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7 minutes ago, Cheese said:

He's attempting to evacuate Ukrainians, not Russians.

They’re not leaving though, he’s taking those who want to go though.

Either way, we are seemingly very close to him doing something fckin dreadful

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37 minutes ago, Spider said:

They’re not leaving though, he’s taking those who want to go though.

Either way, we are seemingly very close to him doing something fckin dreadful

The tactical nuke, used as a escalate/de-escalate weapon, is deployed in an area with very few people. Minimises casualties, but sends a warning. Using one in a town defeats the object.

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2 minutes ago, Tonge moor green jacket said:

The tactical nuke, used as a escalate/de-escalate weapon, is deployed in an area with very few people. Minimises casualties, but sends a warning. Using one in a town defeats the object.

But he’s mentle

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1 hour ago, Spider said:

But he’s mentle

That article from the cia man says not.

Suppose it depends upon your view of things. 

To normal thinking folk he is just that, and an analysis by a psychologist gave good evidence. 

The cia man explains it in terms of an "indoctrination" and power crazy.

Either way, he might use one, but using it incorrectly would hamper its effect.

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59 minutes ago, Cheese said:

I doubt the people wanting to leave have much choice.

This is true. It’s deportation then. 
Nothing makes sense with Putin and the Russians. I wouldn’t put it past them to use the civilians as a human shield. Either troops mingling with civilians or a convoy of both to take heavy equipment with them. We’ll soon find out.

There’s been a Ukrainian military blackout of information for the past week in Kherson region. Something is about happen.

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15 minutes ago, BobyBrno said:

This is true. It’s deportation then. 
Nothing makes sense with Putin and the Russians. I wouldn’t put it past them to use the civilians as a human shield. Either troops mingling with civilians or a convoy of both to take heavy equipment with them. We’ll soon find out.

There’s been a Ukrainian military blackout of information for the past week in Kherson region. Something is about happen.

The Russians have obviously lost control.

Might not be too many celebrations though, as Putin won't take that lightly.

Feels like a turning point is upon is

What does that Redneck in his shed have to say about it all? He's been pretty on the money so far.

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30 minutes ago, Spider said:

The Russians have obviously lost control.

Might not be too many celebrations though, as Putin won't take that lightly.

Feels like a turning point is upon is

What does that Redneck in his shed have to say about it all? He's been pretty on the money so far.

They've not told him of their military plans neither I presume, so he's in the dark too.

Hopefully plenty more air defense stuff going in and twatting of the Russians continuing.

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11 minutes ago, Morizio said:

What are the planes involved, what will the RAF plane be doing and what do you think will be the escort fighter?

It's one of the most power surveillance planes in the world basically soaking all sorts of radar, radio and electronic intelligence and theres not many of them available! As its on a NATO mission it could have anything from any of the member nations escorting it, it's literally on a rota I think. These aren't the kinds of close calls we want!

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48 minutes ago, Marc505 said:

It's one of the most power surveillance planes in the world basically soaking all sorts of radar, radio and electronic intelligence and theres not many of them available! As its on a NATO mission it could have anything from any of the member nations escorting it, it's literally on a rota I think. These aren't the kinds of close calls we want!

Probably a daft question, but why they called rivet joints?

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22 hours ago, Marc505 said:

No idea actually! Many of the surveillance type planes have daft names like Cobra Ball and Combat Sent. Might just be two computer generated words

Some big military plane thing going on over costa teguise tomorrow where I am. Ill take you some pics :)

 

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