Traf Posted August 10, 2007 Author Share Posted August 10, 2007 No joy yesterday. 2 today: Aperitif: 4.00 Sedgefield: win and place Lake Chini 7.05 Haydock: place only. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 (edited) No joy yesterday. 2 today: Aperitif: 4.00 Sedgefield: win and place Lake Chini 7.05 Haydock: place only. Neither ran. I've been unable to keep this updated for the past fortnight sorry, but I'll bring it all up to date today. I've not had the time to study the horses so I backed everything that ran from the list below 20/1 for a place. I also backed some of them to win if I fancied them. I'm not after-timing, though. Edited August 23, 2007 by Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 Out for a Stroll: 4.30 BrightonSpirit Rising: 5.30 Brighton Motaraqeb: 7.15 Sligo Alfresco: 8.00 Bath I don't expect any of these to actually win today, but I suggest backing all to place except Spirit Rising All were unplaced. 3 losing bets: ?11.96 @ 3.2, ?7.97 @ 4.3 and ?11.96 @ 3.2 A loss of ?31.89 on the day. Week 3 so far: 4 losing bets at a cost of ?38.16! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 Friday 10th August No runners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 (edited) Saturday 11th August Lake Chini: win and place: 4/1 winner: ?6.25 @ 4/1 returned ?31.25, ?23.93 @ 2.1 returned ?48.94 Dorn Dancer: place: 5th at 10/1: loss of ?9.57 Merlin's Dancer: NO BET 6th at 22/1: NO BET Tears of a Clown: place: 7th at 9/2: loss of ?21.27 Collateral Damage: place: 6th at 14/1: loss of ?6.83 Geojimali: place: 6th at 10/1: loss of ?9.57 John Keats: place: 2nd at 7/1: ?13.64 @ 2.93 returned ?38.65 Star of Light: win and place: 11/4 winner: ?8.78 @ 4.0 returned ?33.80, ?34.64 @ 1.76 returned ?59.65 Saturday's Results (and week 3) 9 bets (13) 5 winners (5) 55.6% strike rate ( 38.5%) Stakes: ?134.48 (?172.64) Returns: ?212.29 (?212.29) Profit: ?77.81 = 57.86% (?39.65 = 22.97%) Edited August 23, 2007 by Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 Week 1 41 bets 11 winners 26.83% strike rate Staked: ?314.96 Returned: ?434.82 Profit: ?119.86 = 38.06% Week 2 30 bets 9 winners Strike Rate: 30% Stake: ?305.26 Return: ?398.78 Profit: ?93.52 = 30.64% Week 3 13 bets 5 winners Strike Rate: 38.5% Stake: ?172.64 Returns: ?212.29 Profit: ?39.65 = 22.97% Totals after 3 weeks 84 bets 25 winners Strike rate 29.76% Stakes: ?792.84 Return: ?1,045.89 Profit: ?253.05 = 31.92% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 Week 4 Monday 13th: No runners Tuesday 14th: Out for a Stroll: win and place: 5th at 15/8: losses of ?12.76 and ?16.45 Wednesday 15th: Out for a Stroll: win and place: 8/1 winner ?3.00 @ 9.8 returned ?28.08, ?11.97 @ 3.2 returned ?36.99 Mubaashir: NO BET: 7th at 25/1: NO BET Thursday 16th: Pride of Nation: win and place: 4/1 winner: ?5.73 @ 5.6 returned ?30.77 , ?21.94 @ 2.2 returned ?46.95 Lisathedaddy: place: 9th at 7/2: loss of ?27.34 Friday 17th: Geojimali: place: 2nd at 13/2: ?9.40 @ 3.8 returned ?34.40 John Keats: win and place: 5/1 winner: ?4.70 @ 6.6 returned ?29.70, ?18.80 @ 2.4 returned ?43.80 King's Bastion: place: 5th at 12/1: loss of ?7.97 Lavenham: place: 9th at 10/1: loss of ?9.50 Saturday 18th: Festive Chimes: place: 8th at 11/1: loss of ?8.74 Proud Killer: place: 2nd at 16/1: ?5.99 @ 5.4 returned ?31.03 Sgt Schultz: NO BET: 10th at 25/1: NO BET Caradak: place: 8th at 10/1: loss of ? 9.60 Sunday 19th: Galient: place: 4th at 10/1: loss of ?9.50 Song of Passion: place: 10th at 11/4: loss of ?26.20 Week 4 results 17 bets 8 wins Strike Rate: 47.06% Stake: ?209.59 Return: ?281.72 Profit: ?72.13 = 34.14% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 Week 1 41 bets 11 winners 26.83% strike rate Staked: ?314.96 Returned: ?434.82 Profit: ?119.86 = 38.06% Week 2 30 bets 9 winners Strike Rate: 30% Stake: ?305.26 Return: ?398.78 Profit: ?93.52 = 30.64% Week 3 13 bets 5 winners Strike Rate: 38.5% Stake: ?172.64 Returns: ?212.29 Profit: ?39.65 = 22.97% Week 4 17 bets 8 wins Strike Rate: 47.06% Stake: ?209.59 Return: ?281.72 Profit: ?72.13 = 34.14% Totals after 4 weeks 101 bets 33 winners Strike rate 32.67% Stakes: ?1,002.43 Return: ?1,327.61 Profit: ?325.18 = 32.44% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 6 runners today: Dandy Man, Reverence, Sierra Vista and Wi Dud all go in the 3.10 York. Just back Dandy Man and Reverence (for old time's sake: the ground won't be wet enough really!) for places. Clearly in Motion runs in the 5.25 Fontwell: back to place. Supercast goes at 5.40 Chester: leave it alone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 23, 2007 Author Share Posted August 23, 2007 6 runners today:Dandy Man, Reverence, Sierra Vista and Wi Dud all go in the 3.10 York. Just back Dandy Man and Reverence (for old time's sake: the ground won't be wet enough really!) for places. Clearly in Motion runs in the 5.25 Fontwell: back to place. Supercast goes at 5.40 Chester: leave it alone. Dandy Man was placed. 2 go tomorrow: Proud Killer : 4.00 Newbury: place bet Lake Chini: 8.05 Newcastle: win and place. Updates later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 25, 2007 Author Share Posted August 25, 2007 Dandy Man was placed. 2 go tomorrow: Proud Killer : 4.00 Newbury: place bet Lake Chini: 8.05 Newcastle: win and place. Updates later. Proud Killer was unplaced @ 4.5 for a place. Lake Chini was 2nd: took 5.4 to win and 2.3 for a place. Small profit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 25, 2007 Author Share Posted August 25, 2007 4 runners today: Echelon: 3.10 Goodwood: win and place Conquest: 3.25 Newmarket: NO BET Geojimali: 5.05 Newmarket: place Dorn Dancer: 8.00 Redcar: place Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 26, 2007 Author Share Posted August 26, 2007 4 runners today:Echelon: 3.10 Goodwood: win and place Conquest: 3.25 Newmarket: NO BET Geojimali: 5.05 Newmarket: place Dorn Dancer: 8.00 Redcar: place Echelon was a 7/1 winner. Geojimali was 6th of 12. Dorn Dancer was 6th of 15. 2 run today: Angel Voices: 2.20 Yarmouth: back to place Commando Scott: 4.30 Goodwood: NO BET. Update on the week's stats later! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Angel Voices missed a place by a short head. 5 runners today: no great shakes though. 2.50 Kempton: Landucci 5.40 Kempton: Alfresco 3.55 Newcastle: Kames Park 5.00 Huntingdon: Capistrano 5.25 Chepstow: Out for a Stroll All could get placed or all could fail to be honest. Landucci is ridiculously priced at 24.0 on betfair and could actually win given a run. I'll back all just to place: I only need 1 to place to show a profit on the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Landucci won at 9/1! A couple of quid at 24.0 was well worth the punt! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 (edited) Week 5 Monday 20th: No runners Tuesday 21st: Merlin's Dancer: 16th of 18 at 25/1: NO BET Hernando Royal: place: 10th at 7/1: loss of ?13.85 Sergeant Cecil: place: 5th at 6/1: loss of ?15.95 Continent: NO BET: 13th at 20/1: NO BET Wednesday 22nd: Lake Chini: win and place: 12/1 winner:?2.00 (Betfair min bet) @ 15.6 returned ?29.74 and ?7.98 @ 4.3 returned ?33.00 Collateral Damage: NO BET: 12th at 20/1: NO BET Star of Light: place: 8th at 14/1: loss of ?6.83 Sir Nod: place: 2nd at 12/1: ?7.75 @ 4.4 returned ?32.79 Trojan Flight: place: 5th at 7/1: loss of ?13.50 Kerry's Dream: NO BET: 11th at 66/1: NO BET Plum Pudding: NO BET: 16th at 33/1: NO BET Thursday 23rd: 6 runners today: Dandy Man: place: 3rd at 9/4:?29.25 @ 1.9 returned ?54.26 Reverence: place: 16th at 14/1 (burst blood vessel): loss of ?6.75 Sierra Vista: NO BET: 8th at 40/1: NO BET Wi Dud: NO BET: 5th at 25/1: NO BET Clearly in Motion: place: 11th at 16/1: loss of ?5.98 Supercast: NO BET: 6th at 33/1: NO BET Friday 24th: Proud Killer: place: 8th at 11/1: loss of ?7.53 Lake Chini: win and place: 2nd at 7/2: loss of ?5.98 and ?20.25 @ 2.3 returned ?45.26 Saturday 25th: Echelon: win and place: 7/1 winner: ?3.82@ 7.9 returned ?28.86 and ?13.86 @ 2.9 returned ?38.88 Conquest: NO BET: 5th at 14/1: NO BET Geojimali: place: 6th at 100/30: loss of ?28.60 OUCH! Dorn Dancer: NO BET: 6th at 25/1: NO BET Sunday 26th: Angel Voices:place: 4th at 5/1: loss of ?19.07Another OUCH! Commando Scott: NO BET: 5th at 50/1: NO BET Week 5 results 17 bets 7 winners Strike rate: 41.2% Staked: ?208.95 Returned: ?262.79 Profit: ?53.84 = 25.77% (the profit margin was 59% before Geojimali and Angel Voices! But that's the gamble!) Edited August 27, 2007 by Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Week 1 41 bets 11 winners 26.83% strike rate Staked: ?314.96 Returned: ?434.82 Profit: ?119.86 = 38.06% Week 2 30 bets 9 winners Strike Rate: 30% Stake: ?305.26 Return: ?398.78 Profit: ?93.52 = 30.64% Week 3 13 bets 5 winners Strike Rate: 38.5% Stake: ?172.64 Returns: ?212.29 Profit: ?39.65 = 22.97% Week 4 17 bets 8 wins Strike Rate: 47.06% Stake: ?209.59 Return: ?281.72 Profit: ?72.13 = 34.14% Week 5 17 bets 7 winners Strike rate: 41.2% Staked: ?208.95 Returned: ?262.79 Profit: ?53.84 = 25.77% Totals after 5 weeks 118 bets 40 winners Strike rate 33.9% Stakes: ?1,211.38 Return: ?1,590.40 Profit: ?379.02 = 31.29% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 27, 2007 Author Share Posted August 27, 2007 Angel Voices missed a place by a short head. 5 runners today: no great shakes though. 2.50 Kempton: Landucci: 9/1 winner: ?5.07 @ 6.2 returned ?30.12 5.40 Kempton: Alfresco: unplaced: loss of ?5.37 3.55 Newcastle: Kames Park ended up 20/1+, so NO BET 5.00 Huntingdon: Capistrano: non-runner 5.25 Chepstow: Out for a Stroll: unplaced: loss of ?8.77 All could get placed or all could fail to be honest. Landucci is ridiculously priced at 24.0 on betfair and could actually win given a run. I had a few quid there, but won't include it in the stats. Week 6, Day 1: 3 bets 1 winner ?19.21 returned ?30.12, a 56.8% profit. Tuesday has just the one runner: Captain General 3.45 Lingfield: decent chance, back to win and place. Is anyone backing these, or should I save myself the time I spend posting them? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
top_boy_84 Posted August 27, 2007 Share Posted August 27, 2007 Is anyone backing these, or should I save myself the time I spend posting them? Keep 'em coming mate. I'm on them Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dickie Posted August 28, 2007 Share Posted August 28, 2007 Week 6, Day 1: 3 bets 1 winner ?19.21 returned ?30.12, a 56.8% profit. Tuesday has just the one runner: Captain General 3.45 Lingfield: decent chance, back to win and place. Is anyone backing these, or should I save myself the time I spend posting them? I`m with Top Boy, keep em coming! I`ve been rather busy what with hols, weddings and such over the past month but I should be back to normal now? I`ll try and assist? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 28, 2007 Author Share Posted August 28, 2007 This list doesn't rip trees up, but it has provided me with a steady income for the past few years. The stats I quote are to return a ?25 profit per winner (after any commisssions, of course!) How you choose to use the list is up to you. My mate follows the list and stakes his bets to provide a ?100 profit per winner. Since I restarted this 5 weeks ago, he's made over ?1500 profit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 28, 2007 Author Share Posted August 28, 2007 Tuesday has just the one runner: Captain General 3.45 Lingfield: decent chance, back to win and place. Captain General just missed a place: finishing 4th. Losses of ?5.00 and ?21.05: ouch! 2 runners tomorrow and both could win, but might just get edged out. John Keats 4.30 Ayr Resplendent Nova 4.40 Kempton At the moment I'd just advise a place bet, I might back them to win tomorrow afternoon, once I've had a good look, but for the stats it's just place bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
top_boy_84 Posted August 29, 2007 Share Posted August 29, 2007 Captain General just missed a place: finishing 4th.Losses of ?5.00 and ?21.05: ouch! 2 runners tomorrow and both could win, but might just get edged out. John Keats 4.30 Ayr 9/4 3rd Resplendent Nova 4.40 Kempton 14/1 winner At the moment I'd just advise a place bet, I might back them to win tomorrow afternoon, once I've had a good look, but for the stats it's just place bets. An each-way single on Replendent Nova, together with an each-way double on the two, has shown a rather nice profit. Cheers Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted August 29, 2007 Author Share Posted August 29, 2007 Luvvley Jubbley! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
top_boy_84 Posted August 30, 2007 Share Posted August 30, 2007 Any today Traf? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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