Traf Posted December 8, 2012 Posted December 8, 2012 (edited) ...for most of you, but this is a project I'm working on, which I'm happy to openly trial on here for now! I'm looking for long term profitability, which will inevitably mean good days and bad! Day 1: 08/12/12 12.55 Sandown: Dolly Penrose 8/1 EW BOG u/p 1.15 Wetherby: Amore Mio 6/1 EW BOG 3rd 1.25 Sandown: Hollins 33/1 EW BOG u/p 1.25 Sandown: Lightning Strike 22/1 EW BOG PU 1.45 Wetherby: Lease Lend 15/8 BOG u/p 2.05 Chepstow: Royal Charm 6/1 EW BOG u/p 2.10 Aintree: In Compliance 10/1 EW BOG u/p 2.20 Wetherby: Minsky Mine 7/1 EW BOG u/p 2.30 Sandown: Rajamand 18/1 EW BOG u/p 2.40 Chepstow: Maurice the Athlete 6/1 EW BOG 3rd 2.40 Chepstow: Sangfroid 16/1 EW BOG u/p 2.45 Aintree: Seven is Lucky 22/1 EW BOG u/p 3.05 Sandown: Sanctuaire 5/2 BOG u/p Edited December 9, 2012 by Traf Quote
Sweep Posted December 9, 2012 Posted December 9, 2012 Maybe not, but lets keep going for a while yet. I'm happy to play along with small beans for a while....having said that, I'm waiting for Gonzo's winners as well, now he's on a rich vein of form....of one Quote
Traf Posted December 9, 2012 Author Posted December 9, 2012 (edited) I was out of the house at 6am this morning and never got round to putting today's up. The wifi at Warwick is fucking shite, but here's what today's should/would have been: 1.25 Kelso: Cassius @ 50/1 E/W BOG : PU 1.40 Warwick : Captain Paulie @ 6/1 E/W BOG : non-runner 1.55 Kelso: Knockara Beau @ 11/8 BOG : 3rd 2.25 Kelso : Captain Americo @ 6/1 E/W BOG 2nd 3.10 Warwick : Earcomesthedream @ 4/1 BOG 4th 3.10 Warwick: Life Long @ 25/1 E/W BOG 2nd Edited December 9, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 10, 2012 Author Posted December 10, 2012 (edited) 1.25 Kelso: Cassius @ 50/1 E/W BOG : PU 1.40 Warwick : Captain Paulie @ 6/1 E/W BOG : non-runner 1.55 Kelso: Knockara Beau @ 11/8 BOG : 3rd 2.25 Kelso : Captain Americo @ 6/1 E/W BOG 2nd 3.10 Warwick : Earcomesthedream @ 4/1 BOG 4th 3.10 Warwick: Life Long @ 25/1 E/W BOG 2nd It was, at least, an improvement on Day 1! 2/5 : -0.27pts Edited December 10, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 10, 2012 Author Posted December 10, 2012 (edited) Day 3 : 10/12/12 2.10 Lingfield : Robins Hood Bay @ 11/4 BOG (SJ) u/p 2.20 Musselburgh : Castletown Bridge @ 4/1 (BV) u/p 2.50 Musselburgh : Balding Banker @ 6/1 BOG E/W (Fred) 3rd at 13/2 More to follow, possibly. 1/3 here: -1.69pts Edited December 10, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 10, 2012 Author Posted December 10, 2012 (edited) Day 3 : 10/12/12, part ii 1.20 Musselburgh: Civil Unrest 5/1 EW BOG PU 1.30 Fakenham: White Diamond @ 25/1 EW BOG 2nd 1.50 Musselburgh: Political Paddy @ 50/1 EW BOG u/p 2.20 Musselburgh: Goldan Jess @ 20/1 EW BOG u/p 2.20 Musselburgh: Skint @ 14/1 EW BOG u/p 2.30 Fakenham: Occasionally Yours @ 14/1 EW BOG u/p 2.30 Fakenham: Phare Isle @ 16/1 EW BOG 3rd 2.50 Musselburgh: Solway Bay @ 25/1 EW BOG u/p When I pick 2 in the same race, I think the first named has the best chance. 2/8 here : -2.27pts Edited December 10, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 10, 2012 Author Posted December 10, 2012 This is, of course, very much a work in progress and a deviation from my usual method of sticking a pin in a racecard selecting horses. I'm confident of maming a profit in the long run and that's all I focus on. Short-term profits look good to readers on a daily basis, but the overall P/L will determine whether this is successful. Currently just 7 successful bets from 29 = a loss of 14.73pts at 1pt per horse. But, as these are generally long shots, we only need one or two..... Quote
Traf Posted December 11, 2012 Author Posted December 11, 2012 (edited) Day 4 : 11/12/12 part (i) 12.00 Lingfield : Thecornishcowboy @ 9/4 BOG Bet365 won 1.10 Fontwell : Father Probus @ 11/2 BOG BetVictor won 1.50 Sedgefield : Pertuis @ 5/1 BOG Bet365 u/p 2.00 Lingfield : Loyal Royal @ 9/2 BOG William Hill u/p Edited December 11, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 11, 2012 Author Posted December 11, 2012 (edited) Day 4 : 11/12/12 part (ii) 1.50 Sedgefield: Sam Lord @ 12/1 E/W BOG won 1.50 Sedgefield: Lightning Rod @ 5/2 BOG 2nd 2.40 Fontwell: Sun Quest @ 14/1 E/W BOG 3rd at 20/1 3.40 Fontwell: Old Magic @ 11/2 E/W BOG u/p Edited December 11, 2012 by Traf Quote
Breightmet Boy Posted December 11, 2012 Posted December 11, 2012 Day 4 : 11/12/12 part (ii) 1.50 Sedgefield: Sam Lord @ 12/1 E/W BOG 1.50 Sedgefield: Lightning Rod @ 5/2 BOG 2.40 Fontwell: Sun Quest @ 14/1 E/W BOG 3.40 Fontwell: Old Magic @ 11/2 E/W BOG Didn't get on it . But great shout Quote
Traf Posted December 11, 2012 Author Posted December 11, 2012 Didn't get on it . But great shout I had 1st and 2nd there from section (ii) which paid 56.7/1 on the Tote, but I didn't do that. Quote
Traf Posted December 11, 2012 Author Posted December 11, 2012 12.00 Lingfield : Thecornishcowboy @ 9/4 BOG Bet365 won 1.10 Fontwell : Father Probus @ 11/2 BOG BetVictor won 1.50 Sedgefield : Pertuis @ 5/1 BOG Bet365 u/p 1.50 Sedgefield: Sam Lord @ 12/1 E/W BOG won 1.50 Sedgefield: Lightning Rod @ 5/2 BOG 2nd 2.00 Lingfield : Loyal Royal @ 9/2 BOG William Hill u/p 2.40 Fontwell: Sun Quest @ 14/1 E/W BOG 3rd at 20/1 3.40 Fontwell: Old Magic @ 11/2 E/W BOG u/p 3 winners and an E/W placer from 8 today: very pleased with that. A 2nd to a winner making a forecast at almost 57/1 (which I didn't back!) to boot. 4/8 today for +13.25pts makes the trial a little more respectable, After 4 days: 11/37 (29.73%) for a small loss of 1.48pts. Quote
Traf Posted December 12, 2012 Author Posted December 12, 2012 (edited) Day 5 : 12/12/12 1.10 Leicester : Rouge Et Blanc @ 6/5 BOG 2.10 Leicester : Milo Milan @ 9/2 BOG 3.00 Lingfield : Beat Route @ 10/1 BOG 8th at 6/1 4.45 Kempton : Thecornishcockney @ 9/2 BOG 2nd at 5/1, beaten by a neck Edited December 12, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 13, 2012 Author Posted December 13, 2012 Day 5: 0/2 : -2pts Overall: 11/39 (28.21%) : -3.48pts Quote
Traf Posted December 13, 2012 Author Posted December 13, 2012 (edited) Day 6: 13/12/12 Part (i) (1/4) 12.50 Taunton : Guess Again @ 3/1 BOG 3rd 1.50 Taunton : Jump City @ 6/1 E/W BOG 3rd at 10/1 (No E/W payout: only 7 ran) 3.20 Taunton : Marshal Zhukov @ 5/2 BOG won 5.30 Kempton : Bank On Me @ 13/2 E/W BOG 5th Part (ii) (0/4) 12.50 Taunton: Artic Wings @ 20/1 E/W BOG 5th 12.50 Taunton: Award Winner @ 14/1 E/W BOG 9th 1.20 Taunton: South O'the Border @ 33/1 E/W BOG 7th 2.50 Taunton: Key To Milan @ 7/1 E/W BOG N/R 2.50 Taunton: Todareistodo @ 7/1 E/W BOG 4th Edited December 14, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 14, 2012 Author Posted December 14, 2012 Day 6 : 1/8 : -4.5pts Overall 12/47 ( 25.53%) : -7.98pts Quote
Traf Posted December 14, 2012 Author Posted December 14, 2012 (edited) Day 7: 14/12/12 Part (i) 12.15 Cheltenham : Broadbackbob @ 11/8 BOG u/p 1.20 Cheltenham : Tom Du Lys @ 9/1 BOG (E/W) PU 2.20 Lingfield : Lowther @ 6/4 BOG won 4.50 Wolverhampton : Flying Power @ 4/1 BOG won 2/4 : +3.5pts Edited December 15, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 14, 2012 Author Posted December 14, 2012 (edited) 14/12/12 Part (ii) I thought I'd posted these already, but obviously not! 1.00 Bangor: Earth Planet @ 3/1 BOG u/p 1.20 Cheltenham Open Day@ 9/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Dark Lover @ 6/1 BOG won The forecast paid 39.7/1 on the Tote. 1.55 Cheltenham: Midnight Chase @ 9/2 BOG non-runner 2.10 Bangor: Pension Plan @ 11/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Air Force One @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p 3.05 Cheltenham: Monetary Fund @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p & Bouggler @ 33/1 E/W BOG non-runner 3/6 : +4.5pts Edited December 15, 2012 by Traf Quote
Breightmet Boy Posted December 14, 2012 Posted December 14, 2012 Day 7: 14/12/12 Part (i) 12.15 Cheltenham : Broadbackbob @ 11/8 BOG u/p 1.20 Cheltenham : Tom Du Lys @ 9/1 BOG (E/W) PU 2.20 Lingfield : Lowther @ 6/4 BOG won 4.50 Wolverhampton : Flying Power @ 4/1 BOG You missed out the 4.50 winner Traf. Another good day at the office. Quote
Traf Posted December 14, 2012 Author Posted December 14, 2012 I've had a great day and im still in the bar. Quote
Manny Road North Posted December 14, 2012 Posted December 14, 2012 Keep up the good work Traf, I am watching from a far i gave you a run in the tipsters comp at chelternham last year, And i will be back to take the crown in 2013. cannot wait for the festival next year seems as you are down at the course get your arse in this gaff www.thaiemeraldrestaurant.co.uk/ Best eating hole down there. Manny Road North bet for tomorrow Chelt 13.55 - Boyfromnowhere 5/1 WIN - SJ Chelt 15.05 -Grandouet - 9/4 WIN - PP Don - 13.35 - Ulys De Charmil - - 3/1 WiN - B365 Keep them coming Quote
Traf Posted December 15, 2012 Author Posted December 15, 2012 (edited) I'm not there now! And these aren't to be backed with any serious money just yet: it's something I'm working on for the future to complement my day to day betting Edited December 15, 2012 by Traf Quote
Traf Posted December 15, 2012 Author Posted December 15, 2012 Day 7: 14/12/12 Part (i) 12.15 Cheltenham : Broadbackbob @ 11/8 BOG u/p 1.20 Cheltenham : Tom Du Lys @ 9/1 BOG (E/W) PU 2.20 Lingfield : Lowther @ 6/4 BOG won 4.50 Wolverhampton : Flying Power @ 4/1 BOG won 2/4 : +3.5pts 14/12/12 Part (ii) I thought I'd posted these already, but obviously not! 1.00 Bangor: Earth Planet @ 3/1 BOG u/p 1.20 Cheltenham Open Day@ 9/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Dark Lover @ 6/1 BOG won The forecast paid 39.7/1 on the Tote. 1.55 Cheltenham: Midnight Chase @ 9/2 BOG non-runner 2.10 Bangor: Pension Plan @ 11/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Air Force One @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p 3.05 Cheltenham: Monetary Fund @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p & Bouggler @ 33/1 E/W BOG non-runner 3/6 : +4.5pts Day 7 : 5/10 : +8pts Overall 17/57 ( 29.82%) : +0.02pts Quote
Traf Posted December 15, 2012 Author Posted December 15, 2012 (edited) Day 8: 15/12/12 1.10 Lingfield: Tanerko Emery @ 6/5 BOG :- won at 7/4 1.35 Doncaster: Crafty Roberto @ 9/1 E/W BOG & Simply Ned @ 7/1 E/W BOG :- u/p & 3rd 2.20 Lingfield: Snake Charmer @ 22/1 E/W BOG & Grafite @ 9/2 BOG. :- u/p & 9/2 winner 2.30 Cheltenham : Walkon @ 5/1 BOG : 2nd Edited December 15, 2012 by Traf Quote
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.