...for most of you, but this is a project I'm working on, which I'm happy to openly trial on here for now!

 

I'm looking for long term profitability, which will inevitably mean good days and bad!

 

Day 1: 08/12/12

 

12.55 Sandown: Dolly Penrose 8/1 EW BOG u/p

1.15 Wetherby: Amore Mio 6/1 EW BOG 3rd

1.25 Sandown: Hollins 33/1 EW BOG u/p

1.25 Sandown: Lightning Strike 22/1 EW BOG PU

1.45 Wetherby: Lease Lend 15/8 BOG u/p

2.05 Chepstow: Royal Charm 6/1 EW BOG u/p

2.10 Aintree: In Compliance 10/1 EW BOG u/p

2.20 Wetherby: Minsky Mine 7/1 EW BOG u/p

2.30 Sandown: Rajamand 18/1 EW BOG u/p

2.40 Chepstow: Maurice the Athlete 6/1 EW BOG 3rd

2.40 Chepstow: Sangfroid 16/1 EW BOG u/p

2.45 Aintree: Seven is Lucky 22/1 EW BOG u/p

3.05 Sandown: Sanctuaire 5/2 BOG u/p

Edited December 9, 201213 yr by Traf

Not the best of starts!

Maybe not, but lets keep going for a while yet. I'm happy to play along with small beans for a while....having said that, I'm waiting for Gonzo's winners as well, now he's on a rich vein of form....of one

I was out of the house at 6am this morning and never got round to putting today's up.

The wifi at Warwick is fucking shite, but here's what today's should/would have been:

 

1.25 Kelso: Cassius @ 50/1 E/W BOG : PU

1.40 Warwick : Captain Paulie @ 6/1 E/W BOG : non-runner

1.55 Kelso: Knockara Beau @ 11/8 BOG : 3rd

2.25 Kelso : Captain Americo @ 6/1 E/W BOG 2nd

3.10 Warwick : Earcomesthedream @ 4/1 BOG 4th

3.10 Warwick: Life Long @ 25/1 E/W BOG 2nd

Edited December 9, 201213 yr by Traf

1.25 Kelso: Cassius @ 50/1 E/W BOG : PU

1.40 Warwick : Captain Paulie @ 6/1 E/W BOG : non-runner

1.55 Kelso: Knockara Beau @ 11/8 BOG : 3rd

2.25 Kelso : Captain Americo @ 6/1 E/W BOG 2nd

3.10 Warwick : Earcomesthedream @ 4/1 BOG 4th

3.10 Warwick: Life Long @ 25/1 E/W BOG 2nd

 

It was, at least, an improvement on Day 1!

 

2/5 : -0.27pts

Edited December 10, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 3 : 10/12/12

 

2.10 Lingfield : Robins Hood Bay @ 11/4 BOG (SJ) u/p

2.20 Musselburgh : Castletown Bridge @ 4/1 (BV) u/p

2.50 Musselburgh : Balding Banker @ 6/1 BOG E/W (Fred) 3rd at 13/2

 

More to follow, possibly.

 

1/3 here: -1.69pts

Edited December 10, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 3 : 10/12/12, part ii

 

1.20 Musselburgh: Civil Unrest 5/1 EW BOG PU

1.30 Fakenham: White Diamond @ 25/1 EW BOG 2nd

1.50 Musselburgh: Political Paddy @ 50/1 EW BOG u/p

2.20 Musselburgh: Goldan Jess @ 20/1 EW BOG u/p

2.20 Musselburgh: Skint @ 14/1 EW BOG u/p

2.30 Fakenham: Occasionally Yours @ 14/1 EW BOG u/p

2.30 Fakenham: Phare Isle @ 16/1 EW BOG 3rd

2.50 Musselburgh: Solway Bay @ 25/1 EW BOG u/p

 

When I pick 2 in the same race, I think the first named has the best chance.

 

2/8 here : -2.27pts

Edited December 10, 201213 yr by Traf

This is, of course, very much a work in progress and a deviation from my usual method of sticking a pin in a racecard selecting horses.

 

I'm confident of maming a profit in the long run and that's all I focus on. Short-term profits look good to readers on a daily basis, but the overall P/L will determine whether this is successful.

 

Currently just 7 successful bets from 29 = a loss of 14.73pts at 1pt per horse.

But, as these are generally long shots, we only need one or two.....

Day 4 : 11/12/12 part (i)

 

12.00 Lingfield : Thecornishcowboy @ 9/4 BOG Bet365 won

1.10 Fontwell : Father Probus @ 11/2 BOG BetVictor won

1.50 Sedgefield : Pertuis @ 5/1 BOG Bet365 u/p

2.00 Lingfield : Loyal Royal @ 9/2 BOG William Hill u/p

Edited December 11, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 4 : 11/12/12 part (ii)

 

1.50 Sedgefield: Sam Lord @ 12/1 E/W BOG won

1.50 Sedgefield: Lightning Rod @ 5/2 BOG 2nd

2.40 Fontwell: Sun Quest @ 14/1 E/W BOG 3rd at 20/1

3.40 Fontwell: Old Magic @ 11/2 E/W BOG u/p

Edited December 11, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 4 : 11/12/12 part (ii)

 

1.50 Sedgefield: Sam Lord @ 12/1 E/W BOG

1.50 Sedgefield: Lightning Rod @ 5/2 BOG

2.40 Fontwell: Sun Quest @ 14/1 E/W BOG

3.40 Fontwell: Old Magic @ 11/2 E/W BOG

 

Didn't get on it . But great shout

Didn't get on it . But great shout

 

I had 1st and 2nd there from section (ii) which paid 56.7/1 on the Tote, but I didn't do that.

12.00 Lingfield : Thecornishcowboy @ 9/4 BOG Bet365 won

1.10 Fontwell : Father Probus @ 11/2 BOG BetVictor won

1.50 Sedgefield : Pertuis @ 5/1 BOG Bet365 u/p

1.50 Sedgefield: Sam Lord @ 12/1 E/W BOG won

1.50 Sedgefield: Lightning Rod @ 5/2 BOG 2nd

2.00 Lingfield : Loyal Royal @ 9/2 BOG William Hill u/p

2.40 Fontwell: Sun Quest @ 14/1 E/W BOG 3rd at 20/1

3.40 Fontwell: Old Magic @ 11/2 E/W BOG u/p

 

3 winners and an E/W placer from 8 today: very pleased with that.

A 2nd to a winner making a forecast at almost 57/1 (which I didn't back!) to boot.

 

4/8 today for +13.25pts makes the trial a little more respectable,

 

After 4 days: 11/37 (29.73%) for a small loss of 1.48pts.

Day 5 : 12/12/12

 

1.10 Leicester : Rouge Et Blanc @ 6/5 BOG

2.10 Leicester : Milo Milan @ 9/2 BOG

3.00 Lingfield : Beat Route @ 10/1 BOG 8th at 6/1

4.45 Kempton : Thecornishcockney @ 9/2 BOG 2nd at 5/1, beaten by a neck

Edited December 12, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 5: 0/2 : -2pts

Overall: 11/39 (28.21%) : -3.48pts

Day 6: 13/12/12

 

Part (i) (1/4)

12.50 Taunton : Guess Again @ 3/1 BOG 3rd

1.50 Taunton : Jump City @ 6/1 E/W BOG 3rd at 10/1 (No E/W payout: only 7 ran)

3.20 Taunton : Marshal Zhukov @ 5/2 BOG won

5.30 Kempton : Bank On Me @ 13/2 E/W BOG 5th

 

Part (ii) (0/4)

12.50 Taunton: Artic Wings @ 20/1 E/W BOG 5th

12.50 Taunton: Award Winner @ 14/1 E/W BOG 9th

1.20 Taunton: South O'the Border @ 33/1 E/W BOG 7th

2.50 Taunton: Key To Milan @ 7/1 E/W BOG N/R

2.50 Taunton: Todareistodo @ 7/1 E/W BOG 4th

Edited December 14, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 6 : 1/8 : -4.5pts

Overall 12/47 ( 25.53%) : -7.98pts

Day 7: 14/12/12

 

Part (i)

12.15 Cheltenham : Broadbackbob @ 11/8 BOG u/p

1.20 Cheltenham : Tom Du Lys @ 9/1 BOG (E/W) PU

2.20 Lingfield : Lowther @ 6/4 BOG won

4.50 Wolverhampton : Flying Power @ 4/1 BOG won

 

2/4 : +3.5pts

Edited December 15, 201213 yr by Traf

14/12/12

 

Part (ii)

 

I thought I'd posted these already, but obviously not!

 

1.00 Bangor: Earth Planet @ 3/1 BOG u/p

1.20 Cheltenham Open Day@ 9/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Dark Lover @ 6/1 BOG won

The forecast paid 39.7/1 on the Tote.

 

1.55 Cheltenham: Midnight Chase @ 9/2 BOG non-runner

2.10 Bangor: Pension Plan @ 11/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Air Force One @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p

3.05 Cheltenham: Monetary Fund @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p & Bouggler @ 33/1 E/W BOG non-runner

 

3/6 : +4.5pts

Edited December 15, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 7: 14/12/12

 

Part (i)

12.15 Cheltenham : Broadbackbob @ 11/8 BOG u/p

1.20 Cheltenham : Tom Du Lys @ 9/1 BOG (E/W) PU

2.20 Lingfield : Lowther @ 6/4 BOG won

4.50 Wolverhampton : Flying Power @ 4/1 BOG

 

You missed out the 4.50 winner Traf. Another good day at the office.

I've had a great day and im still in the bar.

Keep up the good work Traf, I am watching from a far i gave you a run in the tipsters comp at chelternham last year, And i will be back to take the crown in 2013.

 

cannot wait for the festival next year

 

seems as you are down at the course get your arse in this gaff

 

www.thaiemeraldrestaurant.co.uk/

 

Best eating hole down there.

 

Manny Road North bet for tomorrow

 

Chelt 13.55 - Boyfromnowhere 5/1 WIN - SJ

 

Chelt 15.05 -Grandouet - 9/4 WIN - PP

 

Don - 13.35 - Ulys De Charmil - - 3/1 WiN - B365

 

Keep them coming

I'm not there now!

 

And these aren't to be backed with any serious money just yet: it's something I'm working on for the future to complement my day to day betting

Edited December 15, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 7: 14/12/12

 

Part (i)

12.15 Cheltenham : Broadbackbob @ 11/8 BOG u/p

1.20 Cheltenham : Tom Du Lys @ 9/1 BOG (E/W) PU

2.20 Lingfield : Lowther @ 6/4 BOG won

4.50 Wolverhampton : Flying Power @ 4/1 BOG won

 

2/4 : +3.5pts

14/12/12

 

Part (ii)

 

I thought I'd posted these already, but obviously not!

 

1.00 Bangor: Earth Planet @ 3/1 BOG u/p

1.20 Cheltenham Open Day@ 9/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Dark Lover @ 6/1 BOG won

The forecast paid 39.7/1 on the Tote.

 

1.55 Cheltenham: Midnight Chase @ 9/2 BOG non-runner

2.10 Bangor: Pension Plan @ 11/1 E/W BOG 2nd & Air Force One @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p

3.05 Cheltenham: Monetary Fund @ 16/1 E/W BOG u/p & Bouggler @ 33/1 E/W BOG non-runner

 

3/6 : +4.5pts

 

Day 7 : 5/10 : +8pts

Overall 17/57 ( 29.82%) : +0.02pts

Day 8: 15/12/12

 

1.10 Lingfield: Tanerko Emery @ 6/5 BOG :- won at 7/4

1.35 Doncaster: Crafty Roberto @ 9/1 E/W BOG & Simply Ned @ 7/1 E/W BOG :- u/p & 3rd

2.20 Lingfield: Snake Charmer @ 22/1 E/W BOG & Grafite @ 9/2 BOG. :- u/p & 9/2 winner

2.30 Cheltenham : Walkon @ 5/1 BOG : 2nd

Edited December 15, 201213 yr by Traf

Day 8 : 3/6 : +3.63pts

Overall 20/63 ( 31.75%) : +3.65pts