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Wanderers Ways. Neil Thompson 1961-2021

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Extinction people

Are in Manchester today

Might pop down at lunchtime 

Wonder if they’ll take their plastic bottles home with them?

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Super glue the cunts together and drop them in Helmand province.

Not seen footage of the demonstrations on the news. No bad thing.

On 04/09/2021 at 08:38, Spider said:

These YouGov polls

(I’m in no way connecting this to ER who I happen to think are fucking idiots by the way)

Who are they asking?

That one is 3296 people surveyed.

They never say who and where they go to ask folk. If they’re just stopping people in Chipping Norton and asking them if they like scruffy oiks, then you’ll get those results.

Often wondered how they manage to ensure a broad spectrum.

You get a 98% accuracy with only 986 people polled. I used to work with data scientists and its a common misconception the bigger the sample size (over a certain number) the more accurate it is.

It's based on the maths innit.

Whilst there will be deviations essentially you are saying there's only a 2% correction and many of these will be outliers, so if you can be confident to reach a certain amount of audience with activity - political, sales whatever.

However lot is based on the questions asked so with researchers you get a lot of 'on one hand this, on another hand this.'

Edit: also the sample.like this requires a geographical and social.class spread (postcode based) to ensure accuracy but it doesn't have to be a widespread as you'd imagine as even I  Chopping Nprton you'd have a decent spread, Nottingham.is the widest collection of social.class in a city in a concentrated area. It's why the biggest data firm is based there.

Edited by Not in Crawley

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