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Wanderers Ways. Neil Thompson 1961-2021

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Horwich's Gee Gee Tips

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  • Author
Doncaster 3.50

 

JEEPSTAR

 

2nd 20/1

  • 3 weeks later...
  • Replies 471
  • Views 42.9k
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  • Author

2 for today

 

back as singles and a double

 

2nd one might also be worth back ew (not sure of the odds)

 

the 2nd one will be a very good horse on the AW this season

 

2.30 heavens walk

3.30 marinaite

 

 

both southwell

  • Author
2 for today

 

back as singles and a double

 

2nd one might also be worth back ew (not sure of the odds)

 

the 2nd one will be a very good horse on the AW this season

 

2.30 heavens walk

 

both southwell

 

1st horse u/p 7/2f

  • 3 weeks later...
  • Author

the big tip

 

not saying this will win but it shouldnt be the price it is after you read this write up

 

If you were to believe the hype, the Martin Pipe trained Celestial Gold has already won Saturday???s Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup at Newbury.  Ladbrokes have made the Paddy Power Gold Cup winner 11/4 favourite (from 8/1 2 weeks ago) for the Grade 3 Handicap Chase, but there are better betting options out there.  Celestial Gold has had an impressive career to date, with 3 wins and a second place from 6 outings, but if you look closer there are doubts over this horse.

 

Three times he has run on ground slightly softer than good (the current ground at Newbury), and he was well beaten in two of these races, winning the other (a very poor Novice Chase) by a short head.  Those two bad races were also the only two occasions on which Celestial Gold has tackled a flat track ??? he certainly seems to run best on undulating tracks such as Cheltenham.

 

But enough about the ante-post favourite, and why he will be beaten.  Who is going to win the race?  The answer to this question, I believe, will make you very happy.  Because the horse that can win the Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup is currently available at prices up to 40/1.  The horse in question is Swansea Bay, who will find conditions at Newbury absolutely perfect.

 

Swansea Bay is, primarily, a horse who acts (unlike Celestial Gold) on flat tracks.  Compare his record on flat tracks to his record on undulating tracks and you will see an obvious pattern.

 

Record on flat tracks : 241021111116P1111716 (12/20, 60%)  

Record on undulating tracks : 2643846462 (0/10, 0%)

 

A very impressive record on flat tracks, I???m sure you will agree, but not enough to make this outsider such a strong bet.  Now compare Swansea Bay???s record on left-handed tracks and right-handed tracks.

 

Record on left-handed tracks : 2641421111611461 (8/16, 50%)

Record on right-handed tracks : 24308116P11726 (4/14, 29%)

 

Undoubtedly, Swansea Bay is most likely to run well on a flat, left-handed track.  Luckily for us, that is exactly what he will find at Newbury on Saturday.  If we go further, and look at his record on flat, left-handed tracks we find an astonishing record.

 

Record on flat, left-handed tracks : 121111111 (8/9, 89%)

 

Swansea Bay is a horse who is almost unbeatable under the conditions that he faces in the Hennessy yet, because of two bad runs on tracks that did not suit him, we are being offered 40/1 for a horse who has proven ability over trip, going and class of race!

mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm :D

  • Author

and your not allowed to pick it for your nap

 

 

see rule 56f

Celestial Gold- zozzy's Nap selection for today

  • 2 weeks later...
  • Author

my dad's had a phone call from his bookie mate from wales.

 

 

get on daguyda 3.10 Ludlow

 

ew if over 5/1

 

or a place on betfair

  • Author
my dad's had a phone call from his bookie mate from wales.

 

 

get on daguyda 3.10 Ludlow

 

ew if over 5/1

 

or a place on betfair

 

10am 12/1 in dones

 

1pm 15/2

  • Author

finished 4th

 

dont know how many bet fair paid out on..

 

maybe one for the notebook.

 

was backed down from 12/1 to about 5/1

  • 1 month later...
  • Author

4.20 Wolverhampton... Fiddler's Creek

  • Author
4.20 Wolverhampton... Fiddler's Creek

 

won 4/1

Thanks Horwich, got on it when it was 5-1.

 

Keep them coming. :D/ :D/ :D/

  • Author

NOT TOO CONFIDENT ABOUT THIS ONE

2.00 Folkestone... Novacella

NOT TOO CONFIDENT ABOUT THIS ONE

2.00 Folkestone... Novacella

 

2nd.11/10 fav

 

toodle pip

  • Author

3.00 Fontwell... Mistress Banjo

  • Author

SEDGEFIELD

2.40 OPERA HALL

 

LEICESTER

4.20 MY WORLD

 

SOUTHWELL

2.30 SERGEANT SLIPPER, AMANDA’S LAD

  • 1 month later...
  • Author

calomeria in the 3.55 at doncaster

 

im gonna back it for a place (1st 3) 2.72

also back it as a straight win 7/1

  • Author
calomeria in the 3.55 at doncaster

 

im gonna back it for a place (1st 3) 2.72

also back it as a straight win 7/1

fell ](*,)

  • 4 weeks later...
  • Author

Divine Gift ew

3.20 Doncaster

 

7/1 at the moment

  • Author

Montifault to be placed in next race at aintree

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