jules_darby Posted February 26, 2007 Posted February 26, 2007 I'm off to Cheltenham for the Wednesday (14th March), if anyone has any tips etc for that day over the next couple of weeks it'd be appreciated... Quote
no balls Posted February 26, 2007 Posted February 26, 2007 A bit of advice. Don't listen to a word them pikey's tell you on the tip front. That's if you can understand them that is. Oh and speak in a loud English accent in a bars/pubs that week or they'll charge you an extra 50p per pint. It's the pikeys' annual outing over the water. Quote
Traf Posted February 26, 2007 Posted February 26, 2007 A bit of light reading for you, JD. This should point you in the right direction. THE R&SA NOVICE HURDLE - 5 and 6 year olds have provided the winner of 29 out of the last 32 runnings. - 4 year olds have a record of zero wins from their last 18 runners. Similarly, anything aged 7 or older have only 1 winner from their last 63 runners. - Since 1982, the winner has been in the first two on its previous run. - Anything running below a Class C grade race has historically performed badly, with no winners in the last 14 years. - 18 of the last 21 runners had run at least 4 times over hurdles. Experience is important on this unique course. THE R&SA CHASE - 5 year olds receive a generous weight allowance and have a 1 from 6 record in the last 14 years. The 5 losers have all acquitted themselves well. -Only 2 9 year olds have taken this in the last 42 runnings. Only one has been placed in the last 12 runnings and that was in a small field. - 6 year olds historically struggle and need to be high class to win. - 10 of the last 13 winners have been in the first 5 in the betting. - 29 of the last 32 were 1st or 2nd on their last run. Must have finished in the top 3 last time out and run in a race of more that 2m 4f. This is a gruelling race and the last 35 have been beaten. - 8 of the last 13 winners had breaks less than 38 days. - Ignore Flat Breds - they have a poor record. - French breds have a good record. - The last 6 winners have been no less than 3rd on all their completed chase starts in that season and had won at least once. THE QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE - Ignore older than 10 or younger than 7 years old. Moscow Flyer bucked this trend, but he is a special horse. Otherwise, nothing aged older than 11 had won since 1977 and have been well beaten. - 40 of the last 47 runnings have gone to the first 3 in the market. - Its been 26 years since the winner failed to record a placing on its previous run. - 17 of the last 22 winners all won or placed at the previous festival. Two of the remainder had won good chases at Cheltenham outside the festival. - 14 of the last 17 winners had won over 20f. - All of the last 6 winners had won at least once in that season and hadn???t been out of the first 4 at all. - All of the last 6 had an RPR rating of at least 155 on their last run. THE CORAL CUP - Until last year, 5 year olds were to be avoided- no weight allowance and 55 had tried and failed since 1993. only 1 of these was placed. Last year however, 5 yo???s provided the 1st 2nd 4th and 5th!!! The winner was a well handicapped individual though. Standings are now 62 attempts, 1 winner and 4 placings. - A mare hasn???t won the race in the last 14 years. - You need a horse that has run less than 20 times otherwise overexposure is a problem handicap-wise. Only 1 winner in the last 14 years has raced more than that. - Need to carry less than 11 stone. ??? Last year was an exception as the majority (26 out of 30) of the field were carrying at least 11 stone. - Martin Pipe has a good record in this race. - Irish are very strong in this race. (5 of the last 13) - 9 of the last 13 winners had no more than 3 prior runs and 3 of the other 4 had 4 runs - had their marks protected. - Hold up horses are favoured - ignore front runner THE FULKE WALWYN KIM MUIR HANDICAP CHASE FOR AMATEUR RIDERS - Only 2 of the 88 runners aged older than 9 have won this race in the last 13 years. - Its 37 years since the last 6 year old won, although only 13 5 or 6 yr olds have run in the last 13 years, without success. Mon Mome was 2nd last year. - Only 3 winners in the last 21 years has carried more than 11 stone, after deducting riders allowances. - 9 of the previous 13 winners had been in the first 3 on their previous run. 7 of the last 10 were first or second previously. Quote
jules_darby Posted February 26, 2007 Author Posted February 26, 2007 Ta Traf. And NB, I know it's a Paddyfest - funnily enough my MD is one, hence us going! Quote
Horwich Posted March 6, 2007 Posted March 6, 2007 Day 2 Wednesday 14th 2.00 Ballymore Properties Novices??? Hurdle (2m 5f) Since 1997 (9 runnings) Average SP 5.9/1 Winning Favourites 4 - 5 and 6 year olds have provided the winner of 29 out of the last 32 runnings. - 4 year olds have a record of zero wins from their last 18 runners. Similarly, anything aged 7 or older have only 1 winner from their last 63 runners. - Since 1982, the winner has been in the first two on its previous run. - Anything running below a Class C grade race has historically performed badly, with no winners in the last 14 years. - 18 of the last 21 runners had run at least 4 times over hurdles. Experience is important on this unique course. 2.35 THE R&SA Chase (3m 1/2f) Since 1997 (9 runnings) Average SP 12.5/1 Winning Favourites 1 - 5 year olds receive a generous weight allowance and have a 1 from 6 record in the last 14 years. The 5 losers have all acquitted themselves well. -Only 2 9 year olds have taken this in the last 42 runnings. Only one has been placed in the last 12 runnings and that was in a small field. - 6 year olds historically struggle and need to be high class to win. - 10 of the last 13 winners have been in the first 5 in the betting. - 29 of the last 32 were 1st or 2nd on their last run. Must have finished in the top 3 last time out and run in a race of more that 2m 4f. This is a gruelling race and the last 35 have been beaten. - 8 of the last 13 winners had breaks less than 38 days. - Ignore Flat Breds - they have a poor record. - French breds have a good record. - The last 6 winners have been no less than 3rd on all their completed chase starts in that season and had won at least once. 3.15 Queen Mother Champion Chase (2m) Since 1997 (9 runnings) Average SP 4.4/1 Winning Favourites 3 - Ignore older than 10 or younger than 7 years old. Moscow Flyer bucked this trend, but he is a special horse. Otherwise, nothing aged older than 11 had won since 1977 and have been well beaten. - 40 of the last 47 runnings have gone to the first 3 in the market. - Its been 26 years since the winner failed to record a placing on its previous run. - 17 of the last 22 winners all won or placed at the previous festival. Two of the remainder had won good chases at Cheltenham outside the festival. - 14 of the last 17 winners had won over 20f. - All of the last 6 winners had won at least once in that season and hadn???t been out of the first 4 at all. - All of the last 6 had an RPR rating of at least 155 on their last run. 4.00 Coral Cup (2m 5f) Since 1997 (9 runnings) Average SP 17.3/1 Winning Favourites 1 - Until last year, 5 year olds were to be avoided- no weight allowance and 55 had tried and failed since 1993. only 1 of these was placed. Last year however, 5 yo???s provided the 1st 2nd 4th and 5th!!! The winner was a well handicapped individual though. Standings are now 62 attempts, 1 winner and 4 placings. - A mare hasn???t won the race in the last 14 years. - You need a horse that has run less than 20 times otherwise overexposure is a problem handicap-wise. Only 1 winner in the last 14 years has raced more than that. - Need to carry less than 11 stone. ??? Last year was an exception as the majority (26 out of 30) of the field were carrying at least 11 stone. - Martin Pipe has a good record in this race. - Irish are very strong in this race. (5 of the last 13) - 9 of the last 13 winners had no more than 3 prior runs and 3 of the other 4 had 4 runs - had their marks protected. - Hold up horses are favoured - ignore front runners. 4.40 The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase (Amateurs) (3m 1/2f) Since 1997 (9 runnings) Average SP 19.3/1 Winning Favourites 1 - Only 2 of the 88 runners aged older than 9 have won this race in the last 13 years. - Its 37 years since the last 6 year old won, although only 13 5 or 6 yr olds have run in the last 13 years, without success. Mon Mome was 2nd last year. - Only 3 winners in the last 21 years has carried more than 11 stone, after deducting riders allowances. - 9 of the previous 13 winners had been in the first 3 on their previous run. 7 of the last 10 were first or second previously 5.20 Bumper (2m 1/2f) Since 1997 (9 runnings) Average SP 15.4/1 Winning Favourites 2 - 5 year olds have won 9 of the last 14 runnings with 4 year olds winning twice. 6 year olds have won the last 2 years, one of which was a defending champion. Irish have a strong record. 11 winners of the last 14. - The last 13 winners have been Irish bred. - Avoid horses who ran in Grade 1 or 2 races previously ??? all of these have lost. - This is a big field race 12 of the last 13 runners had won in a race of 15 or more. - Avoid maidens ??? they have never won. Quote
BWFCOLINH58 Posted March 6, 2007 Posted March 6, 2007 I'm off to Cheltenham for the Wednesday (14th March), if anyone has any tips etc for that day over the next couple of weeks it'd be appreciated... smack a fenian............... Quote
tylswhite Posted March 7, 2007 Posted March 7, 2007 ive got a tip for the 5-20 champion bumper theatrical moment currently at about 20-1 best price (ive done it each way) had a tip for this horse 1st race out and was told it was a cracking prospect. Loves the soft ground and will go very well. Quote
Traf Posted March 7, 2007 Posted March 7, 2007 ive got a tip for the 5-20 champion bumper theatrical moment currently at about 20-1 best price (ive done it each way) had a tip for this horse 1st race out and was told it was a cracking prospect. Loves the soft ground and will go very well. As an aside, the first 3 home in the bumper tend to fare very well in the season after the race. Quote
colintoddsdiscopants Posted March 8, 2007 Posted March 8, 2007 (edited) queen mother champion chase = Well chief, class horse, beat all the other contenders last month by a country mile, after being out injured for 1 1/2 yrs should win easily Edited March 8, 2007 by colintoddsdiscopants Quote
top_boy_84 Posted March 8, 2007 Posted March 8, 2007 queen mother champion chase = Well chief, class horse, beat all the other contenders last month by a country mile, after being out injured for 1 1/2 yrs should win easily I'm having Newmill in the Queen Mother to repeat last year's win... Quote
Farrelly's right foot Posted March 8, 2007 Posted March 8, 2007 I'm having Newmill in the Queen Mother to repeat last year's win... I'm going out on a limb here but I can't see anything beating Fair Along in the Arkle and Monet's Garden should do the business in the Ryanair race. Quote
tylswhite Posted March 8, 2007 Posted March 8, 2007 theatrical moment is now a non runner for cheltenham but it will be running at either ayr on saturday or sedgefield on tuesday, keep your eyes out for it, it will be very hard to beat. Quote
enzo gambaro Posted March 9, 2007 Posted March 9, 2007 Monet's Garden should do the business in the Ryanair race. Or the Queen Mother.... Quote
Farrelly's right foot Posted March 9, 2007 Posted March 9, 2007 Or the Queen Mother.... yes as i've already laid down dosh on it for the ryanair no doubt it will romp home in the queen mother. Quote
spit the dog Posted March 12, 2007 Posted March 12, 2007 theatrical moment is now a non runner for cheltenham but it will be running at either ayr on saturday or sedgefield on tuesday, keep your eyes out for it, it will be very hard to beat. running in the 5.30 at sedgefield tommorrow Quote
Traf Posted March 12, 2007 Posted March 12, 2007 queen mother champion chase = Well chief, class horse, beat all the other contenders last month by a country mile, after being out injured for 1 1/2 yrs should win easily Well Chief for me, too. Easily the best horse in the field. Also like the look of Copsale Lad in the Coral Cup. still available at 14/1. Definite E/W chance if it doesn't actually win. Quote
Horwich Posted March 13, 2007 Posted March 13, 2007 Post your tips for tomorrow on this thread. Quote
Mixu Posted March 13, 2007 Posted March 13, 2007 (edited) All backed Each Way. 2.00 pm Duc De Regniere 2.35 pm Turko (Dom D'Orgeval) 3.15 pm Ashley Brook 4.00 pm Oulart 4.40 pm Lou du Moulin Mas 5.20 pm Whatuthink Edited March 13, 2007 by Mixu Quote
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