The Chairman's Dream
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Just imagine the following as a dream of a chairman of a football club on the night before the next match - which is a cup game and which is also at the start of a new transfer window........
FA Cup next match, away at Sunderland - think Megson will put out the reserves?
If he does is that because he is clueless, or shows no passion? Maybe.
Why not go for a good cup run when the best we can hope for in the league is to avoid relegation again? Even if we survive what can we expect for next season - more Premiership survival, no cup runs, even putting out weaker teams to the top four clubs because we ain't going to win - so we might as well save our better players from possible injury, or a booking, or simply keep them fresh for the next game we might get something from?
How about the way we play - certainly not attractive (most of the time anyway), why don't we buy some better players - it's the transfer window so what do we want - attacking midfield, a striker who can score, someone better than Andy O'Brien - that'll do for starters anyway.
Oh and Megson - get shut - he's useless - get Mourinho or even Sven - if we get them then players will want to join Bolton - maybe we can get a few stars and play some sexy football for a change!
Ok what have we agreed on -
1 - Top Manager
2 - Top class players
3 - Top class players? salaries
4 - Bigger squad - so we can go for not only cup runs but to break into the top four - or at least Europe regularly.
5 - Bigger squad salaries - to pay for these extra players.
6 - Don't even get me started on things off the field like permanent free travel to away matches.....etc.
Right then what money do we have?
1 - ?40+ million debts
2 - Almost total reliance Eddie Davies and (Sky) Premiership prise money
3 - Maximum capacity just under 29,000 - so season tickets and other fan spending.
What weakness have we got though?
1 - How's Mr Davies personal fortune doing in view of the credit crunch - The Icelandic bloke at West Ham and the Russian at Portsmouth have been badly bitten
2 - Will we get the same Sky money after this current contract finishes after the 2009/10 season - oh wait that is the end of next season isn't it?
3 - Can we fill the stadium in the middle of a economic downturn even if we do get the star manager and players - will people still put the visit to the Reebok as a must, even when their job may have been lost and the bills still have to be paid?
Shit, maybe now is not such a good time for getting the 'galactico's' to join Bolton - maybe just better to strengthen the squad and dump Megson.
Ok what will that cost -
1 - Terminate Megson's contract - say ?2.5 million
2 - New managers contract - say another ?2.5 million
3 - War chest for new manager to spend - another ?15 million - won't get much for that though?
Right let's see Mr Davies - ?20 million should get us moving again.
........oh, I'm sorry to hear that Eddy this credit crunch is a bitch, I understand that ?10 million is the maximum that you can come up with for January. And I understand that even that might not be there if your investments fall any further.
Oh Christ, things are far worse than I thought - well Gary's safe for now - we need to spend what little money we have on staying up. Actually when I think about it Gary did a cracking job last year. And his backroom squad is a fraction of that we had under Big Sam (and more importantly all those additional salaries there was back then too!).
Well we could get some money in from selling some players - who would other clubs want? Super Kev - wasn't Hull after him at the start of the season? Well we won't get much there then. Hunt, yes he's doing well on loan at Birmingham - kerching! Oh no, I've just remembered being told that he's not made their team for the last three matches, shit bet he's on his way back to us - that's his salary back on the pay roll (Thanks Sammy, good job giving him that rise!).
Ok, don't panic, who else is there......Nolan, yes Everton will come back him for him or my old mate Sam now he's back in work, we'll get at least ?5 million..... we will won't we...... maybe not then.
Al-Habsi possibly - good keeper, just signed a four year contract - Spurs have a dodgy keeper, I wonder if Sam rates Robbinson? Maybee......?
Helgusson at QPR... about a ?1 million for him.
Gulp....we ain't going to raise much from sales then.
Feck it let's go all out for a good cup run - Pompey did it last year and look at them now - below us in the league, owner going bust, selling their best player's, Tony Adams as their manager, knocked out of Europe at the first go..... bet their fans will be happy next year (or year but one) in the second division knowing that they have lost ?30 million a year in sky prise money but have won the cup when most other teams only entered their reserve sides in it anyway.
Who else won a cup outside the big four - oh I know Leicester - what division are they in now? Leeds did well didn't they - wonder what happened to them since they left the Premiership and its prise money?? Who went down in the last year or two - Derby, Charlton, Watford bet they're all doing ok - aren't they? Wonder if their fans still go to the games?
I'm thinking maybe a good cup run might not be worth it if it meant key players picking up injuries or suspensions. Maybe we better play it safe like we always do......the fans won't like that though will they?
But will they like it better if we got relegated - do you know I bet there is a generation now who have never seen us outside the Premiership.
Ah remember the good old days back at Burnden. The White Hot cup run! Promotion to the Premiership for the first time under Bruce! The relegation from the premiership and how the club very nearly went bust. Eddy stepping in and saving us. The miracle it took to get back under Sam after we had to sell Fish and Eider, etc. If we hadn't had done it then who knows what fecking league we'd be in now!
No, no, no. As much as the fans don't like it the club is a business and survival in the Premiership is essential. We've got a good enough manager to deliver that - despite what fans may think of him. We don't have money to burn so he will have to get by on what he has plus what extra we can find for him to spend. Cup runs are nice but not essential - staying up is everything. If we play the reserves at Sunderland - well that?s just what the business of football is now these days.
Sure it might have been more fun a dozen years ago back in the second or third divisions - but we were lucky to get crowds of 12,000 - we can't afford to keep any of our players outside the Premiership on those sorts of gates. Relegation and we drop back to the level of the Preston's and the Burnley's.
Think I'm joking - ask Leeds fans how much fun it is to see Doncaster in a higher division then them!
Megson as done well for us - I see that now. Yes the fans don't love him - but do they love their boss at work either? Let's face it he is doing a job for the club - not trying to win a fan popularity contest.
Yes, got it now - the fans want more than we can reasonably deliver and they will always be disappointed - I know. But I rather keep on doing what we are doing - no cup runs, no significant transfer signings, survival rather than 'glorious' relegation. It's only when they see the alternative after relegation that they will understand (like the Charlton fans and the Southampton fans, and the Coventry fans, and the Forrest fans, and the Leicester fans, and the Derby fans, and the......) but by then it might very well be too late to ever get back.
I can sleep peacefully now.... Good night!
My story is completely made up and not intended to insult anyone - it is my attempt at trying to explain Bolton as a business - and why Bolton may actually do the things they do and not as many of the fans would want.
Feel free to shoot me down.