Traf Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 Thursday's SotD: http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-14th-june-2012/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Tate Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Only if you happen to be doing so anyway! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 (edited) I check all the cards daily, so it's no mither.  Here's my thoughts on Hereford:  6.10: Captain Brown is the most likely winner, but he's 11/8 at best. Compton Blue is interesting at 12/1 E/W won  6.40: I'd have backed Inch Rover at 5/2, but he's now a non-runner. Art History should win, but he's even money, odds on in places. I'd take a punt at 7/1 shot Hightown (E/W if you like) 2nd  7.10: Very open affair here, you could make a case for 7 or 8 of them if you tried. However I'll take Kahsabelle (15/2 E/W) non-runner and Another Kate unplaced (4th) to beat the rest.  7.40: Should be straight fight between the top 2 in the market: Forty Five (11/4) won : top weight, but champion jockey and Overlaw (9/2). Nobody is still able to ride a finish like McCoy and I think he'll get home. Possible reverse forecast here.  8.10: Jolly Roger (13/8 ) won looks to complete 5 wins on the bounce, but a combination of a stronger field and a 7lb penalty might might undo him. Instead I like the look of Acapulco Bay (10/1 E/W) 5th or Dukes Art (15/2 E/W) 7th to overturn the form guide  8.40: Betty Browneyes (6/1) would have been my pick here, but is now a non-runner. It's not the best of races, so I'll take two longer-priced horses to make the frame: Turbo Shandy (10/1) 7th and Escardo (16/1) fell.  9.10: Shit race. Inadequately short distance of 1m 5f IMO. But there has to be a winner! I'd take a tentative punt on Woodacre at 3/1 to take this won, with my longshot being Smart Agent at 14/1 E/W 4th. Edited June 15, 2012 by Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 PS Another Kate (7.10 race ) is trainer David Richards only runner and he has a 60% strike rate at Hereford, as does the horse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Tate Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Cheers Traf. I'd identified Another Kate this morn and all being well in the paddock I would expect that to be my primary bet for the night. Betty Browneyes and Inch Rover were two of my other pick amongst the non-runners. Captain Brown is a short priced favourite quite easily opposed in the opener I think. May look to Butler. Â Shall report back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 PPS I hope I have more joy with these than I did with the sack of utter shit I sent CWP at the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sweep Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 PPS I hope I have more joy with these than I did with the sack of utter shit I sent CWP at the weekend. they weren't great this time that's true, but other times before you've done me proud. Rough with smooth and all that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 True, and Compton Blue just won the opener at Hereford! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Tate Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 I check all the cards daily, so it's no mither.  Here's my thoughts on Hereford:  6.10: Captain Brown is the most likely winner, but he's 11/8 at best. Compton Blue is interesting at 12/1 E/W won  6.40: I'd have backed Inch Rover at 5/2, but he's now a non-runner. Art History should win, but he's even money, odds on in places. I'd take a punt at 7/1 shot Hightown (E/W if you like) 2nd  7.10: Very open affair here, you could make a case for 7 or 8 of them if you tried. However I'll take Kahsabelle (15/2 E/W) and Another Kate to beat the rest.  7.40: Should be straight fight between the top 2 in the market: Forty Five (11/4): top weight, but champion jockey and Overlaw (9/2). Nobody is still able to ride a finish like McCoy and I think he'll get home. Possible reverse forecast here.  8.10: Jolly Roger (13/8 ) looks to complete 5 wins on the bounce, but a combination of a stronger field and a 7lb penalty might might undo him. Instead I like the look of Acapulco Bay (10/1 E/W) or Dukes Art (15/2 E/W) to overturn the form guide  8.40: Betty Browneyes (6/1) would have been my pick here, but is now a non-runner. It's not the best of races, so I'll take two longer-priced horses to make the frame: Turbo Shandy (10/1) and Escardo (16/1).  9.10: Shit race. Inadequately short distance of 1m 5f IMO. But there has to be a winner! I'd take a tentative punt on Woodacre at 3/1 to take this, with my longshot being Smart Agent at 14/1 E/W.  A good group of choices, not all of which I followed! Every penny went on the short priced favourite and the second fav in the opener, including mine. Compton Blue was a good 8/1 winner. In the 6.40 I took a forecast, in which I correctly assessed that Hightown would finish second, but the 5/4 clear favourite never figured whatsoever. Mythical Warrior under McCoy overcame a sidewards lurch at the off which left him 12 lenghts behind, so maybe a horse to look out for, though a winner here in a moderate field. Another Kate was well backed and ran prominently without really threatening. I had another forecast in the 7.40 as McCoy's was an all too obvious pick especially once it had been backed in to even money, but as it turned out Overlaw stunk the house out. A speculative small bet on Acapulco Bay came to naught too as the favourite won easily despite, I thought, having a lot of reasons for opposition, but I pulled it back by picking winners in the last two, taking 5/2 on a winner that went off at 13/8, then another success with a 7/2 pick which went off 11/4 clear favourite. In amongst all that I picked out the impressive Fire Lily in the 6.25 at Leopardstown, so I'm claiming 3 for 8 for the night!  Can't say it's the most picturesque course, Hereford, but the best viewing course I've been to yet, I think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 15, 2012 Author Share Posted June 15, 2012 I backed Compton Blue at 12/1, Hightown at 7/1, Forty Five at 11/4 and Woodacre at 3/1, all of which returned more than enough money to cover my longshot punts! Â A happy evening's work, all told. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 15, 2012 Author Share Posted June 15, 2012 Anyway, back to the day job, now: here's Friday's SotD: http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-15th-june-2012/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 Saturday's pick is now online at: http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-16th-june-2012/ Â Now I'm off to York for a jolly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 16, 2012 Author Share Posted June 16, 2012 My day at York was considerably better than my SotD! Especially as the one I was going to put up (Crackentorp) won at 10/1, but I was swayed from oputting it as SotD due to fears about the going. Â No after-timing here, because I didn't back it! Â Anyway's Sunday's is an interesting looking one at a good price! http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-17th-june-2012/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 18, 2012 Author Share Posted June 18, 2012 Poor perfomance on Sunday and hoping for much better today: http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-18th-june-2012/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 The barren run continues as last night's was caught pretty much on the line! Â Tuesday's is: http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-19th-june-2012/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 Just touched off once again last night! Â E/W longshot this evening: http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-20th-june-2012/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members burnden Posted June 20, 2012 Members Share Posted June 20, 2012 howdo traf, Â dont normally do gambling but was speaking to a commentator last week who told me to bet on a horse called gatewood in the 4.25 at ascot friday .........yay or nay? what odds please ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 Just touched off once again last night! Â E/W longshot this evening: http://www.geegeez.c...20th-june-2012/ Â 2nd place for our 16/1 punt today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 howdo traf, Â dont normally do gambling but was speaking to a commentator last week who told me to bet on a horse called gatewood in the 4.25 at ascot friday .........yay or nay? what odds please ? Â Yay, very much so. Â As for the price: not sure what you'd get until tomorrow: might be too short to represent any real value though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
royal white Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Had 25 on a place as did your mate uncle nobhead, cheers traf!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sweep Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 The place betting has been coming a long very nicely of late. Keep it up Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 Had 25 on a place as did your mate uncle nobhead, cheers traf!! Â How is mr nobhead? Give him my regards. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Members bolty58 Posted June 20, 2012 Members Share Posted June 20, 2012 The place betting has been coming a long very nicely of late. Keep it up Traf  My day will come Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 I though today might have been that day, mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 21, 2012 Author Share Posted June 21, 2012 Off to Ripon later and so is SotD: http://www.geegeez.co.uk/stat-of-the-day-21st-june-2012/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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