Slow news day? The real deal? End of the world? 
 

They’re saying it probably came from an animal, has Somebody been shagging monkeys again? 

The government has said that it’s hoping to that 40% of the population get it to give us some herd immunity ahead of round 2 in the Autumn 

The 1% death rate will depend on the mix of that 40% 

If it’s all kids and young people with the oldies locked away then it could well be much lower than 1%. If the oldies get clobbered then it could be much higher than 1% as Italy are finding out 

Lets say we get 40% infected in round 1 as per our plan, let’s say we do a great job of getting the mix right and it’s 0.25% rather than 1% (or 3% like Italy), your still looking at 100k deaths in spring with more to come in Autumn 

You don’t need to be an expert to make simple calculations from the widely published numbers. The experts across every major government, global business and financial institution are all seeing the same things! Thus the extreme measures that are being taken everywhere - this is so far from a normal event 

Meanwhile Radcliffe thinks they Euros will still be on in June and he’s worried about missing out on a cheap train ticket 

Edited March 14, 20206 yr by birch-chorley

6 minutes ago, peelyfeet said:

The wanderers way herd is 4,400 registered users - I'd estimate that our average age is early 50's, some older some younger,  so assuming  mortality rates around 2%. If 80% of us get infected that's 70 deaths - who's up for herd immunity?? 

A good 60 of those will be lurkers so we will never know the true number 

A more accurate indication will be Netflix subscription numbers, let’s keep a close eye on those figures over the coming months 

4 minutes ago, birch-chorley said:

The government has said that it’s hoping to that 40% of the population get it to give us some herd immunity ahead of round 2 in the Autumn 

The 1% death rate will depend on the mix of that 40% 

If it’s all kids and young people with the oldies locked away then it could well be much lower than 1%. If the oldies get clobbered then it could be much higher than 1% as Italy are finding out 

Lets say we get 40% infected in round 1 as per our plan, let’s say we do a great job of getting the mix right and it’s 0.25% rather than 1% (or 3% like Italy), your still looking at 100k deaths in spring with more to come in Autumn 

You don’t need to be an expert to make simple calculations from the widely published numbers. The experts across every major government, global business and financial institution are all seeing the same things! This the extreme measures that are being taken everywhere - this is so far from a normal event 

Meanwhile Radcliffe thinks they Euros will still be on in June and he’s worried about missing out on a cheap train ticket 

😀😀 you carry on with your silly figures Dr Birch 

Im waiting for pictures of his tea bag manufacturing plant in his extension

40ft orangery 

 

Ha ha 

We are trialing a mass work from home day on Monday, all but production staff working from home to see how our systems hold up ahead of the big lock down 

The good people who keep the factory turning will be working day and night to keep the Tea flowing though, before absences through illness kick in 

A mate works in the Warburtons factory, might not seem it but folk on food production lines, transport and grocery retail up and down the country are going to be critical over the coming months to keep us all fed and watered - hero’s to a man (and women) along with the other critical services 

Take your point but bread and tea arent needed

 

Be gutted when the asda pizza counter closes

Maybe they can do it from home

There've been a couple of reports that the behavioural scientists have now conceded that not banning sporting events and mass gatherings was a mistake, which is slightly concerning.

But Kent White's mate Dr. Campbell seems to think the Government's approach in general makes sense - we know the virus is out there and spreading so there's no point trying to prevent it or test people for it, just manage it as best we can

3 minutes ago, Casino said:

Take your point but bread and tea arent needed

 

Tea maybe not as it has no calorific value, certainly helps lift spirits though as it’s a key part of people’s routine, take it away and the mental impact of it could be quite drastic 

Bread is absolutely critical though 

Just now, Lt. Aldo Raine said:

There've been a couple of reports that the behavioural scientists have now conceded that not banning sporting events and mass gatherings was a mistake, which is slightly concerning.

But Kent White's mate Dr. Campbell seems to think the Government's approach in general makes sense - we know the virus is out there and spreading so there's no point trying to prevent it or test people for it, just manage it as best we can

Not sure of his name, but could be john ashton

Scathing in his criticism of bozo, yesterday

And he ought to know his stuff

1 minute ago, birch-chorley said:

Tea maybe not as it has no calorific value, certainly helps lift spirits though as it’s a key part of people’s routine, take it away and the mental impact of it could be quite drastic 

Bread is absolutely critical though 

Youre trying too hard, now 

 

41 minutes ago, kent_white said:

I'm in a similar situation Mounts. I've a Mrs who's immunocompromised and a Dad in his 60's with stage 4 COPD. Either of them could really do without it. 

Is your Dad still looking after himself or does he have help?

Dads still technically at home but currently in respite care, he’s not in a good state physically or mentally think he’s on the last leg of his journey sadly, hope your Dad and wife get through without any issues and good luck and thanks to folk like you who we are all relying on. 

5 minutes ago, Lt. Aldo Raine said:

There've been a couple of reports that the behavioural scientists have now conceded that not banning sporting events and mass gatherings was a mistake, which is slightly concerning.

But Kent White's mate Dr. Campbell seems to think the Government's approach in general makes sense - we know the virus is out there and spreading so there's no point trying to prevent it or test people for it, just manage it as best we can

We keep getting told symptoms don’t show until day 4, Wash your hands, wash your hands, wash your bastard hands.

50,000 people at Cheltenham, In close proximity, and exchanging already filthy pound notes.

Madness IMO

14 minutes ago, Casino said:

Be gutted when the asda pizza counter closes

Buy some flour and make yourself, piece of piss. 

Edited March 14, 20206 yr by Mounts Kipper

If im working at home, maybe i will

5 minutes ago, Rudy’s Message said:

We keep getting told symptoms don’t show until day 4, Wash your hands, wash your hands, wash your bastard hands.

50,000 people at Cheltenham, In close proximity, and exchanging already filthy pound notes.

Madness IMO

Nearer 200k as most people only do 1 day, 69k there yesterday. 

Just now, Casino said:

If im working at home, maybe i will

Plenty of recipes on Netflix 

My son, who had returned from Italy last week, is now out of self isolation due to the change in government advice. 

It's highly likely that most of us are going to have to do this at least once over the coming months, so, a few things my family learned in this period.

1/ It's fucking boring being in self isolation - having to stay in one room may sound easy, and like a good chance to get some peace and quiet, but after a day or two cabin fever sets in. Make sure you've already got TV's, books, snacks, tissues, medicine, chargers, spare clothes etc in the rooms your'e going to use for isolation. If you have to sort this when you're already infected you'll spend hours cleaning every surface you've touched.   

2/ Try and work out what you are going to do if multiple people have to self isolate at the same time - you're supposed to sleep alone, in well ventilated rooms, with the door shut, don't go in the garden at the same time. Use, store and clean clothes, towels, crockery separately, supposed to use a separate tea towel.

3/If you share a bathroom it's got to be cleaned after every use of an suspected infected person, so rota for who uses it last. 

4/Don't let pets roam into isolation rooms, and if they get in, don't stroke them.

5/Get some extra bin bags.

 

6 minutes ago, birch-chorley said:

Plenty of recipes on Netflix 

It’s rich tea biscuits worrying me can’t make them yourself and without them teas a no no. 

6 minutes ago, Casino said:

If im working at home, maybe i will

I don’t have the option to work from home 

going to tackle this head on 

2 minutes ago, peelyfeet said:

My son, who had returned from Italy last week, is now out of self isolation due to the change in government advice. 

It's highly likely that most of us are going to have to do this at least once over the coming months, so, a few things my family learned in this period.

1/ It's fucking boring being in self isolation - having to stay in one room may sound easy, and like a good chance to get some peace and quiet, but after a day or two cabin fever sets in. Make sure you've already got TV's, books, snacks, tissues, medicine, chargers, spare clothes etc in the rooms your'e going to use for isolation. If you have to sort this when you're already infected you'll spend hours cleaning every surface you've touched.   

2/ Try and work out what you are going to do if multiple people have to self isolate at the same time - you're supposed to sleep alone, in well ventilated rooms, with the door shut, don't go in the garden at the same time. Use, store and clean clothes, towels, crockery separately, supposed to use a separate tea towel.

3/If you share a bathroom it's got to be cleaned after every use of an suspected infected person, so rota for who uses it last. 

4/Don't let pets roam into isolation rooms, and if they get in, don't stroke them.

5/Get some extra bin bags.

 

6/ forgot to mention - your'e supposed to double bag any personal waste, like tissues and then keep in your isolation room for 72 hours before putting in your bin. we did this with clothes too - double bagged them up, kept in the room for 3 days then washed and dried separately. - its a fucking nightmare. 

14 minutes ago, Rudy’s Message said:

We keep getting told symptoms don’t show until day 4, Wash your hands, wash your hands, wash your bastard hands.

50,000 people at Cheltenham, In close proximity, and exchanging already filthy pound notes.

Madness IMO

Aye, in hindsight the decision to let it go ahead might look stupid.

A fair few people who wouldn't normally miss a day of it ended up travelling home with "symptoms" before the final day.