RUREADY2ROLL Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Just checked the odds and expected us to be at least 6th or 7th in the betting odds but surprised we are second behind Blackburn to win the league Does anyone else think they are all bonkers to have us at such short odds? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bwfcdan Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 No, we're 5 games into the season. With the squad we have we should be going up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Ratwhite Posted September 16, 2012 Site Supporter Share Posted September 16, 2012 No, we're 5 games into the season. With the squad we have we should be going up. Bookies don't often get it wrong. It's a LONG season. If other teams get a couple of injuries in key positions they are fucked. We have Wheater and Holden (maybe) to come back into the squad. Also a loan from Chelski to use and a transfer window, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankietheman Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 .... And a manager and backroom staff who are totally clueless - give them unlimited resources and you'll still find a turd can't be polished!. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gonzo Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 .... give them unlimited resources and you'll still find a turd can't be polished!. ..you can dip it in glitter and make it sparkle though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankietheman Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 That's why we were taken in for so long, eh? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted September 16, 2012 Moderators Share Posted September 16, 2012 No, we're 5 games into the season. With the squad we have we should be going up. with the squad we have we shouldn't have been relegated smell the coffee we could have a team of world beaters and this cock would fcuk it up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest bwfcdan Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 with the squad we have we shouldn't have been relegated smell the coffee we could have a team of world beaters and this cock would fcuk it up I never said we would be going up, I said "we should". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted September 16, 2012 Moderators Share Posted September 16, 2012 the question was whether our price was unrealistic you said we were 5 games in, as though some transformation is going to happen it aint so, the price is unrealistic if we can stay unbeaten through these upcoming 2 games, i'll be amazed and pleased, but i'll still have no confidence in his ability to achieve what this team should be capable of Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jules_darby Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 (edited) Cassie Dieting has made you even more grumpy than normal In fact, hasn't it coincided with our slide?? Being back tubs and BWFC will be fine New WW campaign: Feed Casino Edited September 16, 2012 by jules_darby Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whites man Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 Bookies don't often get it wrong. What price do they have your tip Watford? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ex_midlandwhite Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 with the squad we have we shouldn't have been relegated smell the coffee Not sure I agree with that. The expensi vely assembled and unsustainable squad that he took over from your man yes. The younger more inexperienced squad of last year was always going to be a couple of injuries away from a real struggle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jules_darby Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 And to finish your sentence .....:when mismanaged Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ex_midlandwhite Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 And to finish your sentence .....:when mismanaged You should stick to your gay off with gumbo over on the other thread :-D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted September 16, 2012 Moderators Share Posted September 16, 2012 The younger more inexperienced squad of last year was always going to be a couple of injuries away from a real struggle. jussi, steinnson, cahill, knight, ricketts eagles, nrc, muamba, petrov davies, klasnic inexperienced...really? younger...really? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Garrp Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 As always. People Compare what they watch to what they have seen previously from same team. They dont watch and dont compare it to the rest of the league. Which sides should be ahead of us in the betting then? heres where the sarcastic replies come of "anyone, but us" yet log on to every other teams forums and guess what, they all say exactly the same. Last point ,everyone is free to make money from what they think they know. fact is, we know they wont. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mounts Kipper Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 As always. People Compare what they watch to what they have seen previously from same team. They dont watch and dont compare it to the rest of the league. Which sides should be ahead of us in the betting then? heres where the sarcastic replies come of "anyone, but us" yet log on to every other teams forums and guess what, they all say exactly the same. Last point ,everyone is free to make money from what they think they know. fact is, we know they wont. With the quality and depth of squad we should be serious contenders for this title, were currently 4 points behind the leaders and have been very poor, if we click and get to grips with this division you could easily see daylight between us and the rest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Garrp Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 With the quality and depth of squad we should be serious contenders for this title, were currently 4 points behind the leaders and have been very poor, if we click and get to grips with this division you could easily see daylight between us and the rest. Spot on Mounts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankietheman Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 If organised, motivated and coached/managed properly, perhaps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Garrp Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 If organised, motivated and coached/managed properly, perhaps. hence why the market says we have around a 11% chance and not 100% chance FFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted September 16, 2012 Moderators Share Posted September 16, 2012 run this bit by me we have a 1 in 9 chance of winning the league is that what the market says? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Garrp Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 run this bit by me we have a 1 in 9 chance of winning the league is that what the market says? Easiest way. 100 divided by odds in decimal so 100 divided by (roughly) 8/1, which is 9.0 as a decimal. 100/9=11.11% probability of winning the league Do that for all 24 teams and you have your book. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Garrp Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 (edited) For example.... BLACKBURN 6.50 15.38462 BOLTON 8.50 11.76471 CARDIFF 8.50 11.76471 BLACKPOOL 10.00 10 BRIGHTON 11.00 9.090909 LEICESTER 13.00 7.692308 NOTTM FOREST 13.00 7.692308 WOLVES 13.00 7.692308 HULL 15.00 6.666667 LEEDS 17.00 5.882353 MIDDLESBROUGH 21.00 4.761905 BIRMINGHAM 26.00 3.846154 SHEFF WEDS 34.00 2.941176 HUDDERSFIELD 34.00 2.941176 CHARLTON 51.00 1.960784 WATFORD 51.00 1.960784 BURNLEY 51.00 1.960784 IPSWICH 67.00 1.492537 DERBY 67.00 1.492537 BRISTOL CITY 101.00 0.990099 MILLWALL 101.00 0.990099 CRYSTAL PALACE 101.00 0.990099 BARNSLEY 251.00 0.398406 PETERBOROUGH 751.00 0.133156 120.4906 EDIT - Cant copy and paste excel then Edited September 16, 2012 by Garrp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 (edited) Garrp is, of course, correct. And the reason that all the percentages adds up to a shade over 120% is the bookies mark up. They have to make a profit regardless of the outcome, and quite rightly so. Love them or hate them, gambling needs bookies. Edited September 16, 2012 by Traf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmosster Posted September 16, 2012 Share Posted September 16, 2012 with the squad we have we shouldn't have been relegated Most galling of all, 36 points will see a team staying up easily this season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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