Politics

[jmjhb]

Just now, Escobarp said:

Step back. Who are you thinking of backing in this bet with Miami? A Tory majority?

No, hung parliament.

[Escobarp]

Just now, jmjhb said:

No, hung parliament.

Ok. So hung parliament is 1.83 or 5/6 in old money now based on low popularity for labour at present.  Say Miami offers you evens now you’re ahead of the game.  We agree yes?
 

‘if polls show a labour increase in popularity odds will shorten at bookies for hung into say 1.5 or 1.4. At this point Tory majority would have moved from current 2.2 or 6/5 to say 2.5 or 2.75.  My point is at this point Miami who isn’t stupid isn’t going to suddenly in the wake of continued labour support in the polls think hang on why don’t I offer an even money bet on a hung parliament against a Tory majority. When he can back a Tory majority himself at 2.5 say or lay a hung parliament at 1.5 rather than give you 2. 
‘I hope you follow my logic 

Miami doesn’t strike me as a charitable idiot in these circumstances . 

 

[Mounts Kipper]

6 minutes ago, jmjhb said:

No, hung parliament.

Won’t be hung if Boris, Nigel do a deal. 

Edited November 1, 2019 by Mounts Kipper

[Escobarp]

Miami just in case 

saying that if you are a tit and hung parliament does go to 1.5 or shorter I will have 5 grand with you at evens pal 👍🏻

[Tonge moor green jacket]

Just now, Mounts Kipper said:

Won’t be hung if Boris, Nigel do a deal. 

No one offering leaving with a deal?

Not so sure

[jmjhb]

6 minutes ago, Escobarp said:

Ok. So hung parliament is 1.83 or 5/6 in old money now based on low popularity for labour at present.  Say Miami offers you evens now you’re ahead of the game.  We agree yes?
 

‘if polls show a labour increase in popularity odds will shorten at bookies for hung into say 1.5 or 1.4. At this point Tory majority would have moved from current 2.2 or 6/5 to say 2.5 or 2.75.  My point is at this point Miami who isn’t stupid isn’t going to suddenly in the wake of continued labour support in the polls think hang on why don’t I offer an even money bet on a hung parliament against a Tory majority. When he can back a Tory majority himself at 2.5 say or lay a hung parliament at 1.5 rather than give you 2. 
‘I hope you follow my logic 

Miami doesn’t strike me as a charitable idiot in these circumstances . 

 

Agree, but in a few weeks he might offer something along the lines of the following:

5 minutes ago, Escobarp said:

Miami just in case 

saying that if you are a tit and hung parliament does go to 1.5 or shorter I will have 5 grand with you at evens pal 👍🏻

😁

It's a value bet for sure but I'm not going to do it just to score points on a messageboard

Edited November 1, 2019 by jmjhb

[Escobarp]

1 minute ago, jmjhb said:

Agree, but who knows he might offer something along the lines of the following:

😁

Well if he proves me wrong we will be quids in but I wouldn’t hold your breath. Shrewd cookie me thinks. Despite the damage those strong winds and rain must have done to him over the years

[Mounts Kipper]

4 minutes ago, Tonge moor green jacket said:

No one offering leaving with a deal?

Not so sure

The Tories are going to fight on leaving with a deal, does not stop them doing some kind of deal with the TBP if they need to after the Election. 

[miamiwhite]

17 minutes ago, Escobarp said:

Miami just in case 

saying that if you are a tit and hung parliament does go to 1.5 or shorter I will have 5 grand with you at evens pal 👍🏻

Piss off matey

 

[miamiwhite]

26 minutes ago, jmjhb said:

No, hung parliament.

Shall we wager on a hung parliament then ?

Are you prepared to back your gob with loot ? No fancy dan codswallop, a straight bet on hung parliament. I’m going for a clear Tory majority.

I’d ask ST the same but he’ll back out quicker than the Italians in WW2.

[Winchester White]

I will have a bet with you Miami for the sum of a tenner (I am skint). If it is a hung parliament then you pay £10 to Darian House. If it is a Tory majority then I pay £10 to a place of your choosing.

I just can't see anything but no overall majority, lets see!

[Escobarp]

Just now, Winchester White said:

I will have a bet with you Miami for the sum of a tenner (I am skint). If it is a hung parliament then you pay £10 to Darian House. If it is a Tory majority then I pay £10 to a place of your choosing.

I just can't see anything but no overall majority, lets see!

Great gesture that 👍🏼
 

if Miami doesn’t want it I will take it with the tenner to dementia UK pal 

[Salford Trotter]

27 minutes ago, miamiwhite said:

Shall we wager on a hung parliament then ?

Are you prepared to back your gob with loot ? No fancy dan codswallop, a straight bet on hung parliament. I’m going for a clear Tory majority.

I’d ask ST the same but he’ll back out quicker than the Italians in WW2.

£50 charity bet only mate.. St Ann's Hospice Little Hulton  if you lose, your choice if I lose

[miamiwhite]

4 minutes ago, Winchester White said:

I will have a bet with you Miami for the sum of a tenner (I am skint). If it is a hung parliament then you pay £10 to Darian House. If it is a Tory majority then I pay £10 to a place of your choosing.

I just can't see anything but no overall majority, lets see!

Deal mate.

 

But when I win, I will match your tenner with it going to a Veterans Charity.

[miamiwhite]

1 minute ago, Salford Trotter said:

£50 charity bet only mate.. St Ann's Hospice Little Hulton  if you lose, your choice if I lose

No probs pal, mine will go to the same fine cause.

[Salford Trotter]

1 minute ago, miamiwhite said:

No probs pal, mine will go to the same fine cause.

Spot on mate👍 I will pay it win or lose so the charity doesn't lose out

Edited November 1, 2019 by Salford Trotter

[Winchester White]

2 minutes ago, miamiwhite said:

Deal mate.

 

But when I win, I will match your tenner with it going to a Veterans Charity.

Sounds good to me matey, I shall reciprocate your generous offer 👍

[miamiwhite]

1 minute ago, Winchester White said:

Sounds good to me matey, I shall reciprocate your generous offer 👍

Good man. Your voting intentions are shite, but you’ve got a good heart

 

[miamiwhite]

3 minutes ago, Salford Trotter said:

Spot on mate👍 I will pay it win or lose so the charity doesn't lose out

Me too mate, a fine worthy and noble cause.

[miamiwhite]

Right you soppy cunts, enough of the loopy left wing love in...let’s get back to basics

Who remembers this and the exact words ?

Recycled 44 years later I think ?

No food etc....watch and weep you soppy fools as history repeats itself and mongos fall for it, hook line and sinker.

 

 

[Sweep]

4 hours ago, Casino said:

Seriously pal, lib undems is as teeth itchingly shit as crippled alice

Anyway, as you were.

You forgot to say the other hilarious ones that people like Bolty love....

Michel Barmier

Jean Claude Drunker

 

I do suspect people who say this shit also say "Crippled Alice" and "Wet Spam"

 

[Sweep]

3 hours ago, mickbrown said:

I do hope the Brexit Party field 650 candidates. There’ll be some right moonmen in there. Would be most amusing 

Never going to happen, not in a million years. They won't evening field 100 when it comes to it

Edited November 1, 2019 by Sweep

[Sweep]

2 hours ago, Mounts Kipper said:

Won’t be hung if Boris, Nigel do a deal. 

But both have said they won't do a deal.....

[MickyD]

Just now, Sweep said:

But both have said they won't do a deal.....

Oh, no deals to be done then!

Bollocks they won't!

[Sweep]

2 hours ago, Escobarp said:

Miami just in case 

saying that if you are a tit and hung parliament does go to 1.5 or shorter I will have 5 grand with you at evens pal 👍🏻

Good point, I can see a hung parliament. Can we have a flat £10K on it now. Both of us send the cash to a neutral person who holds it, and pays out on the day.

 

Let's do this