In x4

 

Have we ever won here ? Has it ever not be shit ? 

9 minutes ago, Ani said:

Surprised not sold out. We are not Massive. 

Trains are shit but I thought we would have sold out quickly

Port Vale not sold either 

Feels like the season is over and we're just waiting for the playoffs, nothing to play for as such 

I'll probably sack Cardiff off if we can't go up auto 

Not far off 2000 for Rotherham and around 2400 for Port Vale, not that bad

What day is it, Tuesday?...

 

2 hours ago, Tonge moor green jacket said:

What day is it, Tuesday?...

 

Today? Yes, but not tomorrow.

2 hours ago, Tonge moor green jacket said:

What day is it, Tuesday?...

 

Could be a surge if Cardiff drop points tonight 

5 hours ago, jmjhb said:

Not far off 2000 for Rotherham and around 2400 for Port Vale, not that bad

Time for more yet.

Half 12 kick off doesn't help things.

2 hours ago, gonzo said:

Half 12 kick off doesn't help things.

I'm going and to get there my first train is at half eight

The missus has offered to drop me off at the station so told her its twenty past 

That way after she's driven off I can pop into the mini Tesco and got some cans 

 

I've got a spare child ticket (i.e. under 14) if anyone wants it. 

Nothing weird, I have kids and they are now busy 

One win in 4 now for Cardiff, but they play serial losers Exeter on Saturday.

 

Sure its been mentioned before but next 3 games against teams 22nd 18th and 24th.

Last 7 games against teams in top 11.

Game 43 against Cardiff could be tasty. 

HMSPiss2ndPlace has set sail 👍

The permutations change game after game.

Even though there's only 10 games left and a 9 points game it could still change so much.

Cardiff could win 2 games or even just 1 and we drop points in both and it's a 13+ point gap and would be a big ask.

Or, let's say we win our next 2 and Cardiff don't even lose, say they just draw both and then that gap could easily go down to just 5 points with us to still play them at their place.

Long way to go.

Stating the obvious here, but we really need to just concentrate on winning one game at a time. 

The positive of all of this is we still have something to chase and hopefully that hunger can really drive us on whilst also be making Cardiff look very nervously over their shoulders.

They've been in the top 2 all season and are showing signs of crumbling. They've got a talented but young squad and are definitely there to get at.

The pressure is undoubtedly on Cardiff.

Edited March 11Mar 11 by Lostock Whites

Taff’s view.

Their GD is another point plus their run is considerably easier than ours. We’d have to win 8/10 inc at their place I reckon and hope they lose 3 (inc our game) and maybe draw 1? 
 

it ain’t happening. They may falter but I don’t think we have enough consistency performance wise to make up the ground. We’ll have at least another 2 draws and a defeat somewhere in the run in. Maybe finish about 7 behind them. 
 

also highly possible they could pretty much confirm promotion when we go there 

All we have to do is keep chasing. If 2nd doesn’t happen, which is probably won’t. Get 3rd place with a good strong finish and carry the form into the playoffs with us. 

Last playoff campaign was on the back of patchy / poor form as a result of 2nd place being out of reach. 

Let’s hope history doesn’t repeat itself. 

It ain't over until it's over. Win the next four and then lets see where we stand 

Edited March 11Mar 11 by noxid

1 hour ago, boltonboris said:

Get 3rd place with a good strong finish and carry the form into the playoffs with us

That’s the key, momentum in to the play offs 

our final 7 games are against teams that are in the top 11.  3 sides currently in the play offs, 2 chasing and close to them, 1 team above us and Luton

we then have potentially 3 play off games against any of those 5 play off contender teams (taking Cardiff & Luton out of the equation) plus either reading or Wycombe 

a 10 game run to get up against all of your direct competition is a big ask but going in to those 3 games with an average run through the other 7 won’t do us any favours 

 

A long way to go before worrying about goal difference, but to make up the points gap realistically we have to beat them at their place, get 2 wins versus them getting 2 defeats (and match the other results points-wise).

Just getting that by the minimum goal swing is +6 in our favour. The gap is currently 13. 

It would be ace going into the last week or two fretting about GD tbh.

3 hours ago, barrycowdrill said:

Their GD is another point plus their run is considerably easier than ours. We’d have to win 8/10 inc at their place I reckon and hope they lose 3 (inc our game) and maybe draw 1? 
 

it ain’t happening. They may falter but I don’t think we have enough consistency performance wise to make up the ground. We’ll have at least another 2 draws and a defeat somewhere in the run in. Maybe finish about 7 behind them. 
 

also highly possible they could pretty much confirm promotion when we go there 

Whilst that true, its just about whether we can close the gap.  If we close the gap by even 3 points, we go there with a chance to keep it alive going into the last 2 games.

On the other hand, if we lose a couple it will all be over before we even go to Cardiff.

Closing a nine point gap with 10 games to go is a massive ask. Is it impossible? Not quite. It is just very marginally possible. But the window of opportunity is so narrow, we have to keep relentlessly winning. if Cardiff drop any points and the gap gets down to 5 that is when their nerve will be tested. But even then we need to keep on winning. 

If over the next five games Cardiff pick up the two points per game they have been doing all season then we can forget it. We would need to win all 10 of our remaining games.

48 minutes ago, paulhanley said:

Closing a nine point gap with 10 games to go is a massive ask. Is it impossible? Not quite. It is just very marginally possible. But the window of opportunity is so narrow, we have to keep relentlessly winning. if Cardiff drop any points and the gap gets down to 5 that is when their nerve will be tested. But even then we need to keep on winning. 

If over the next five games Cardiff pick up the two points per game they have been doing all season then we can forget it. We would need to win all 10 of our remaining games.

Alternatively if they repeat there current form over last 4 games - its one point per game whereas ours over last 4 games is 2 points per game - Happy days !!!!

21 minutes ago, paulhanley said:

Closing a nine point gap with 10 games to go is a massive ask. Is it impossible? Not quite. It is just very marginally possible. But the window of opportunity is so narrow, we have to keep relentlessly winning. if Cardiff drop any points and the gap gets down to 5 that is when their nerve will be tested. But even then we need to keep on winning. 

If over the next five games Cardiff pick up the two points per game they have been doing all season then we can forget it. We would need to win all 10 of our remaining games.

Depends how we go on.  We'd hope to win the next 3 (a given if we're going to make a go of it) which leaves us needing to win at Plymouth and Stockport.  Not impossible.  15 points would put us 4 behind Cardiff and still to play them.  Even 13 points would give us a chance as beating them would put us 3 behind.

5 minutes ago, Johnnyrotten said:

Depends how we go on.  We'd hope to win the next 3 (a given if we're going to make a go of it) which leaves us needing to win at Plymouth and Stockport.  Not impossible.  15 points would put us 4 behind Cardiff and still to play them.  Even 13 points would give us a chance as beating them would put us 3 behind.

It is a chance, but a marginal one. Ifs and buts. One thing for sure, unless we keep relentlessly winning there is no hope of automatic promotion.

I reckon Cardiff will stumble and falter but so will we

We've won last two but drew three before that and had to come from behind in 4 of those 

Unless we do what we've hardly done all season which is score first and make the most of when we're in top i can't see us winning the number of games we'd need to even if Cardiff did collapse 

They've lost 2 of last 6 but we're only two points better off in the form table