Escobarp Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 4 minutes ago, Salford Trotter said: In a purely numbers view of course the Tories are leading the polls and they may be the largest party. So if having the greatest number of seats is your definition of winning then you will be right mate. But if you define winning as having a majority then that's different altogether I still believe the tories will get a majority mate. Time will tell. Quote
darwen_white Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 Yes, clear Tory majority and a Clean Brexit for Christmas 🇬🇧 Quote
miamiwhite Posted October 24, 2019 Author Posted October 24, 2019 17 minutes ago, Salford Trotter said: They may have a lead in the polls but unless they get to 15/16% lead at the ballot box they will not get a majority. Several factors in there that were not present in 2017... TBP and how they will perform up against the Tories as there will be no electoral pact if the election is after No Deal has been taken off the table and is before the end of the extension SNP will wipe out the Tories in Scotland The Lib Dems will pick up about 30+ seats in total with the gains coming primarily from the SW and London. Every seat they and the SNP win knocks the Tories back one. Which means the Tories will have to win seats that they have never won before The scrutiny of the WAB will show that this is a relatively hard Brexit and it's up to the opposition to make their case well that this is not good for Britain The Tories won 44% of the vote at the last election and because it was primarily a two party race last time there will be 4 parties fighting it out. They are currently polling at 35% I believe so that's 9% adrift of where they were A Tory majority is not a given and I still hang my hat on another hung parliament Good job you’ve got a decent mane fella, because your predictions are shockingly shite Quote
Guest Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 11 minutes ago, Salford Trotter said: It's my opinion of course, so how do you see it playing out realistically? Hmm I think Boris will win a majority; probably without the Brexit Party. Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 4 minutes ago, miamiwhite said: Sorry mate, I clearly missed your answer, so will ask again. Who are you voting for ? You have already made your mind up mate and then I pointed out that Johnson has been doing exactly what you accused Swinson of😂 Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, miamiwhite said: Good job you’ve got a decent mane fella, because your predictions are shockingly shite Who is talking about Independence? I was talking about the next election Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 6 minutes ago, Escobarp said: I still believe the tories will get a majority mate. Time will tell. It certainly will👍 Quote
miamiwhite Posted October 24, 2019 Author Posted October 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Salford Trotter said: You have already made your mind up mate and then I pointed out that Johnson has been doing exactly what you accused Swinson of😂 So mate, you’re not admitting to being a voter of Swinson ? For that, I don’t blame you. As the locals say up there ‘she’s deed’ Quote
miamiwhite Posted October 24, 2019 Author Posted October 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Salford Trotter said: Who is talking about Independence? I was talking about the next election You just don’t understand do you ? I’ll bob round and educate you as always. Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 Just now, miamiwhite said: So mate, you’re not admitting to being a voter of Swinson ? For that, I don’t blame you. As the locals say up there ‘she’s deed’ Mounts has voted Labour all his life and now wouldn't be seen dead voting for them. Folk change their views otherwise we have the same governing party at every election Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 1 minute ago, miamiwhite said: You just don’t understand do you ? I’ll bob round and educate you as always. You are always welcome in my house you know that mate👍😘 Quote
miamiwhite Posted October 24, 2019 Author Posted October 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Salford Trotter said: Mounts has voted Labour all his life and now wouldn't be seen dead voting for them. Folk change their views otherwise we have the same governing party at every election Are you subtly saying you’re now a Corbyn fan Quote
miamiwhite Posted October 24, 2019 Author Posted October 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Salford Trotter said: You are always welcome in my house you know that mate👍😘 Likewise matey Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 1 minute ago, miamiwhite said: Are you subtly saying you’re now a Corbyn fan Never Never Never😉 Quote
miamiwhite Posted October 24, 2019 Author Posted October 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Salford Trotter said: Never Never Never😉 I know you’re a bomb chucker by heritage, but you’re not a Green Voter Hence Swinson is the only option left for you pal, unless you’re a closet TBP fan ? Anyway buddy, let me know please when you and the much better looking half fancy a mulled wine on me at the markets in the weeks ahead. Quote
jules_darby Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 4 hours ago, Mounts Kipper said: The shithouses in parliament have driven us towards a worse deal than we could of got, sadly Johnson has had to compromise because of the shithouses, now the shithouses say it’s a terrible deal and perhaps we should remain, shithouses were successful in helping the EU in us not getting a better deal in order to push remain agenda, shithouses can all fuck off, despite their treachery, we’re leaving, end of. Jesus H Christ It was May being weak when it was her deal; you kept saying that a change of leader would solve it Now it’s “u-turn Boris”, it’s everyone else’s fault 🤣 Fucking brilliant. Not sure who’s more hypocritical, Mounts or Bozzer If I had a tenner for every time on this thread I’d be wadded Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, miamiwhite said: I know you’re a bomb chucker by heritage, but you’re not a Green Voter Hence Swinson is the only option left for you pal, unless you’re a closet TBP fan ? Anyway buddy, let me know please when you and the much better looking half fancy a mulled wine on me at the markets in the weeks ahead. I was looking at the family tree the other week and my grandma was the youngest of 23 😂 there were no tellies in those days Quote
Guest Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 (edited) Labour blocking an election Now there is a lie! Edited October 24, 2019 by boltondiver Quote
Guest Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 9 minutes ago, boltondiver said: Labour blocking an election Now there is a lie! If there’s no election, can the EU extend, as there’s no reason to do? No deal this time next week? Quote
Ani Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 5 minutes ago, boltondiver said: If there’s no election, can the EU extend, as there’s no reason to do? No deal this time next week? Why is there no reason to do it ? there is a deal. Just need time to sort the detail. Quote
Guest Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ani said: Why is there no reason to do it ? there is a deal. Just need time to sort the detail. Yes, I suppose Subject to any amendments etc At least we’ll have a new speaker Quote
Salford Trotter Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 11 minutes ago, boltondiver said: If there’s no election, can the EU extend, as there’s no reason to do? No deal this time next week? Johnson changes his mind with the wind and the EU know him well Quote
darwen_white Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 1 minute ago, Salford Trotter said: Johnson changes his mind with the wind and the EU know him well How about the EU changing their mind? You know when they said, time and time again, that the original 'deal' with the Backstop wouldn't be changed? We know the EU well - they've been full of bullshit for decades. Quote
Guest Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 9 minutes ago, Salford Trotter said: Johnson changes his mind with the wind and the EU know him well Peston is saying that Labour are blocking an election Quote
Winchester White Posted October 24, 2019 Posted October 24, 2019 1 minute ago, darwen_white said: How about the EU changing their mind? You know when they said, time and time again, that the original 'deal' with the Backstop wouldn't be changed? We know the EU well - they've been full of bullshit for decades. You do realise that the backstop has gone only because we are back to the original plan Barnier wanted? Boris has done a full 180 and everyone thinks he's the dogs danglies? Weird times. Quote
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