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Wanderers Ways - passion not fashion

Are we going up?


boltondiver
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1 minute ago, Mounts Kipper said:

Over a loss, yes. I’m Greedy want 3 points, if we win next 2 and Cheltenham drop points on Saturday I think the title is on. 

Would you take a draw?

Answer the bloody question.

😄

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I'd take a draw at Salford all day long. If we can avoid defeat at Morecambe i reckon another 10pts (77pts total) will be enough to see us auto prommo'd. Most of our main rivals are bottling it.

Edited by Burndens Bogs
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On 06/04/2021 at 19:02, jmjhb said:

36.3% chance of Top 3 (although still 3rd favourite to go up)

3.5% 1st

10.9% 2nd

21.8% 3rd

77 points gives a 54.5% of automatic promotion

This doesn't take the Morecambe match at the moment into account

56.6% chance of Top 3

5.7% 1st

20.2% 2nd

30.7% 3rd

76 points gives a 44.4% chance of promotion

77 points gives a 69.2% chance

Edited by jmjhb
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16 minutes ago, Dimron said:

Keeping my eye on Exeter, they are top 3 on GD, just hope they have left it too late. 1st May will be the big crunch match if they do put a run together

7 points is a lot to catch up, especially in 7 games

They play Tuesday-Saturday every week up until our match, whereas we've got a week off before it

Edited by jmjhb
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1 hour ago, Rudy said:

Pressure will pay a part especially in teams above us 

Cambridge yesterday is a prime example 

Yep, too many on here panic about others

totally in our hands now yes I was frustrated yesterday but again we ground another win when not playing well

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6 minutes ago, radcliffewhite1 said:

Yep, too many on here panic about others

totally in our hands now yes I was frustrated yesterday but again we ground another win when not playing well

One of the big things yesterday is that despite going a goal down we turned it round. Cambridge chase the game and ship 4 .

It is strange what pressure does to a team. 

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1 hour ago, jmjhb said:

7 points is a lot to catch up, especially in 7 games

They play Tuesday-Saturday every week up until our match, whereas we've got a week off before it

You’d hope we’d have seen Exeter off before we play them. Next 3 I’d be looking for 7 points minimum that’ll pile pressure on the chasing pack. 

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1 hour ago, radcliffewhite1 said:

Yep, too many on here panic about others

totally in our hands now yes I was frustrated yesterday but again we ground another win when not playing well

Top 2 will be nervous every time they play now knowing one mistake could cost them the league. Experienced heads are now needed 

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Tranmere's form has dropped off big time. Draw, Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw and still to play Salford, Bradford and FGR.

Cambridge only have 5 matches left compared to everyone else's 6 in the hunt. They've got Newport next.

Cheltenham will have to start dropping points fast if we want to leapfrog them. 3 wins in their last 5, a draw and a loss, same as us.

FGR's form has also dropped off big time since they played us. 4 losses and a draw. Losing Jamille Matt seems to have been a blow.

We have some tough fixtures on paper to finish the season (Salford, Morecambe, Carlisle, Exeter) but we should really be getting the job done based on our form and the form of those around us.

 

 

Edited by Mantra
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Ten points from our last six and I think it'll be enough. Four from the next two would be excellent. A draw on Tuesday and the win at Grimsby. Saturday will be a battle because they aren't actually losing many any more and those sides at the bottom are scrapping like hell. Let's hope that by this time next week we are in the 70s.

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i think we are better off playing promotion chasing teams. Yesterday's results mean its not just one play off place realistically up for grabs - Exeter, Bradford, Carlisle, Orient even Port Vale, Crawley & Stevenage wont give up yet. 

Worst opponents for us (and our rivals) at this stage of season are those with 'nothing to play for' like Harrogate and then the park the bus types who can settle for a draw if needbe

We can beat any team that needs to get a result against us I'm confident ! COYW we can do this

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4 hours ago, radcliffewhite1 said:

Yep, too many on here panic about others

totally in our hands now yes I was frustrated yesterday but again we ground another win when not playing well

Nowt we can do about the others, as you say it's still in our hands and we've got to keep on chalking up points

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After a poor Easter I think we need to be taking maximum from the next 2 games and not looking for a draw .

That would give us breathing space to get 2 wins from the remaining games to take us up .

Can’t see tranmere getting a further 15 points especially if we can get back to back wins 

this time next week we will be virtually up 👍

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The more I think about Saturday’s win, the more important it seems. Teams tend to go on streaks in this league and once Easter finished off our good streak, another loss, or even a draw, could have seen the start of a poor streak of form. With the win though, regardless of how it came about, we’re back on the up again building the next winning streak. It was all about stopping the poor form as quickly as possible.

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6 minutes ago, Mr Grey said:

We should get at least 3 wins and a draw, 10 points = 80 and overall that will be enough.

Just gonna check my bets and the cash out status 🤓

3 wins, 2 draws now achievable = 70+11 pts = 81 points 

That should definitely get us over the line

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