Salford Trotter Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Oh dear Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevieb Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Oh dear oh dear Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter HomerJay Posted June 8, 2017 Author Site Supporter Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) Here we go. Hours of talking about exit polls which are proven to mean fuck all. Fair play to these two guys dismissing them. Ruins BBC's jibber jabber though Edited June 8, 2017 by HomerJay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter HomerJay Posted June 8, 2017 Author Site Supporter Share Posted June 8, 2017 Considering how vocal labour voters have been, I'm gonna assume that the exit poll is in the same vein. Therefore, I'm going for the blues to piss this... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Exit polls are generally spot on Won't be more than 2% off Not enough to give TM more seats than she started with, not enough to make a Labour led coalition possible Bye bye TM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter HomerJay Posted June 8, 2017 Author Site Supporter Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) Can you see what the exit says about Chorley birch? Edited June 8, 2017 by HomerJay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 (edited) Labour hold mate Edit - looks safe as well Seems Conservatives have picked up seats in Wales and Scotland whilst Labour have taken seats from Conservatives in England whilst firming up the other swing seats like Chorley Edited June 8, 2017 by birch-chorley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Escobarp Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 BBC Scotland politics correspondent saying highly sceptical about exit poll as for snp to lose 22 seats is highly highly unlikely and thus questions the credability of the exit poll results I still think Tory majority albeit small Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Looks like Labour take South Ribble from Conservative Bolton West as well Labour done very well up North Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators Casino Posted June 8, 2017 Moderators Share Posted June 8, 2017 Looks like Labour take South Ribble from Conservative Bolton West as well Labour done very well up North Only if you believe the exit poll I dont Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leigh white Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Only if you believe the exit poll I dont With Atherton and Westhoughton being part of Bolton West, Labour will win it easy this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 With Atherton and Westhoughton being part of Bolton West, Labour will win it easy this time. Have they changed the constituency from last time? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter HomerJay Posted June 8, 2017 Author Site Supporter Share Posted June 8, 2017 fwiw http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2017-40104373 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leigh white Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Have they changed the constituency from last time? No, but it baffled a lot of people with the change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter HomerJay Posted June 8, 2017 Author Site Supporter Share Posted June 8, 2017 odds shortening on blue majority since those 1st two results. now at 1.6 in from 1.8 2.7 for no majority Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Usually not far off and very similar to last years exit polls. I'm not convinced they're spot on given those first two results. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP Posted June 8, 2017 Share Posted June 8, 2017 Make that 3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not in Crawley Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Has Mounts lit his cigar yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leigh white Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Bolton West, a little blue surrounded by red. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Looking like a Tory/DUP coalition Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayjayoghani Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 it's 220 each Labour & Cons at time of writing. So the Cons need 106 out of 149 remaining seats to win. Unlikely? Malc, you still up? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Traf Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 it's 220 each Labour & Cons at time of writing. So the Cons need 106 out of 149 remaining seats to win. Unlikely? Malc, you still up? They'll get 95-100 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birch-chorley Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 Looks like Labour are going to end up 60 seats behind the Conservatives, 150 seats behind the result Tony Balir achieved in 1997 yet they're celebrating like they've won the thing? After 7 years of Tory austerity they should be doing much better, it seems like second is acceptable now even when you throw the kitchen sink at it and the opposition offers nothing The Tories will get rid of May and re align behind someone else who will likely come out with a much better manifesto What else will Labour throw in that hasn't already been promised Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Site Supporter Biggish Dave Posted June 9, 2017 Site Supporter Share Posted June 9, 2017 I like what a 'Times' journalist has said "it's like May watched Hilary's campaign and said lets do it like that" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MalcolmW Posted June 9, 2017 Share Posted June 9, 2017 it's 220 each Labour & Cons at time of writing. So the Cons need 106 out of 149 remaining seats to win. Unlikely? Malc, you still up? Yes (I went to bed 1pm till 7pm). I'm hanging on now till the paper shop opens. It will be a minority Tory government, probably 3 or 4 seats short of a majority, so dependent on DUP support but not in coalition. DUP and SF have taken 16 (or possibly 17) of the 18 NI seats. The 10 DUP will have greater influence as a result, and SFs principles will also aid the government. If all the SF seats had gone to SDLP (who would actually represent their constituents in Parliament) a Labour coalition could have held control. What is interesting is how Corbyn handles his party now. Does he offer posts to those who flounced out on him last year, or stick with the inexperienced yoof promoted above their experience? As for May, she may perhaps carry on through the negotiations at best, but will surely not lead another election campaign unless it is very soon and possibly not even then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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